La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Waterford FC v Shamrock Rovers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Waterford FC (Local)
Predicción 14.32%6.99momio equitativo
EV +3.79%
Ventaja +0.523%
Kelly +0.607%
Crecimiento +0.023%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.13%14.42%14.25%15.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.086.007.2518.18%16.45%16.67%13.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shamrock Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 63.96%1.56momio equitativo
EV -4.06%
Ventaja -2.71%
Kelly -8.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.61%63.79%63.97%64.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.451.451.5073.53%68.84%68.97%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.72%4.60momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -0.499%
Kelly -0.641%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.74%21.79%21.78%23.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.124.104.5027.78%24.26%24.39%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.13%EV +3.79%E +0.523%K +0.607%G +0.023% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.74%EV -5.98%E -4.07%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +0.213%E +0.030%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.92%EV -5.34%E -3.61%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -2.24%E -0.499%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +0.213%E +0.030%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.92%EV -5.34%E -3.61%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -2.24%E -0.499%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.50%EV -2.65%E -0.390%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -9.18%E -6.46%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| Pinnacle | 6.73I 14.86%NM 14.22%EV -3.65%E -0.543%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.23%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.55%EV -3.55%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-03 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.89%EV -4.08%E -0.609%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -5.94%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| DraftKings | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -6.95%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -5.98%E -4.07%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.95%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.68%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -6.95%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Bet Right | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -6.95%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -6.95%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| Betsson | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -9.81%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.96%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| NordicBet | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -9.81%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.96%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| BetMGM | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.64%EV -10.52%E -1.68%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.56%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| 1xBet | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.06%EV -11.10%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -4.06%E -2.71%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.59%EV -10.06%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 18:40 |
| BetUS | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -6.62%E -4.53%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 18:39 |
| BetAnything | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -6.62%E -4.53%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 18:40 |
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Everygame | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| PlayUp | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-03 18:40 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.46%E -7.47%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.46%E -7.47%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| Sky Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.80%EV -10.46%E -7.47%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -15.28%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| SportsBet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.48%EV -13.01%E -9.57%K -36.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.14%EV -15.28%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-03 18:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -10.46%E -7.47%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -21.80%E -6.05%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-03 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.46%EV -15.54%E -2.63%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.80%EV -8.54%E -5.97%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| BetRivers | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Grosvenor | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| LeoVegas | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Casumo | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| TABtouch | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| betPARX | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.75%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.61%EV -5.98%E -4.07%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.77%EV -6.62%E -4.53%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.77%EV -6.62%E -4.53%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Coral | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| Neds | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.10%EV -18.40%E -3.23%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 62.83%EV -12.37%E -9.03%K -33.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.07%EV -15.28%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.74%EV -19.83%E -3.54%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.65%EV -8.54%E -5.97%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -15.28%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-02 05:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -21.26%E -3.87%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.66%EV -10.46%E -7.47%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.03% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.03% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 18:35 |
| Matchbook | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.31% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.89% | 1.5% | 2026-04-03 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.63% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81% | 1.9% | 2026-04-03 18:40 |