L’École des cotes

Waterford FC v Shamrock Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 18:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Waterford FC (Local)

Prévision 14.32%6.99cote équitable
EV +3.79%
Avantage +0.523%
Kelly +0.607%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 7.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.13%14.42%14.25%15.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.086.007.2518.18%16.45%16.67%13.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shamrock Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.96%1.56cote équitable
EV -4.06%
Avantage -2.71%
Kelly -8.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.61%63.79%63.97%64.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.451.451.5073.53%68.84%68.97%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.72%4.60cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -0.499%
Kelly -0.641%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.74%21.79%21.78%23.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.124.104.5027.78%24.26%24.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet7.25I 13.79%NM 13.13%EV +3.79%E +0.523%K +0.607%G +0.023%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.74%EV -5.98%E -4.07%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 18:19
LowVig.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +0.213%E +0.030%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.92%EV -5.34%E -3.61%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -2.24%E -0.499%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 18:15
BetOnline.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +0.213%E +0.030%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.92%EV -5.34%E -3.61%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -2.24%E -0.499%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 18:19
Tipico (DE)6.80I 14.71%NM 13.50%EV -2.65%E -0.390%K -0.457%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -9.18%E -6.46%K -21.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 18:15
Pinnacle6.73I 14.86%NM 14.22%EV -3.65%E -0.543%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.23%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.55%EV -3.55%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 18:30
Marathon Bet6.70I 14.93%NM 13.89%EV -4.08%E -0.609%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -5.94%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 18:25
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -6.95%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.09%EV -5.98%E -4.07%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 18:20
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.95%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.68%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 18:25
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -6.95%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 18:20
Bet Right6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -6.95%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 18:19
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -6.95%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 18:19
Betsson6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -9.81%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.96%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 18:25
NordicBet6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -9.81%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.96%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 18:25
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 14.64%EV -10.52%E -1.68%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.56%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 18:20
1xBet6.21I 16.10%NM 15.06%EV -11.10%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -4.06%E -2.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.59%EV -10.06%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 18:40
BetUS6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -6.62%E -4.53%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 18:39
BetAnything6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -6.62%E -4.53%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 18:40
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 18:20
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 18:25
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -7.26%E -5.01%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-03 18:40
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.46%E -7.47%K -26.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-03 18:19
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.46%E -7.47%K -26.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-03 18:19
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.80%EV -10.46%E -7.47%K -26.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -15.28%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-03 18:20
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 63.48%EV -13.01%E -9.57%K -36.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.14%EV -15.28%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-03 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -14.10%E -2.35%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -10.46%E -7.47%K -26.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -21.80%E -6.05%K -8.38%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-03 18:05
Winamax (DE)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.46%EV -15.54%E -2.63%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.80%EV -8.54%E -5.97%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 18:25
BetRivers5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
Grosvenor5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
Casumo5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:04
TABtouch5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -16.97%E -2.93%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -4.70%E -3.15%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.75%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.61%EV -5.98%E -4.07%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-01 00:05
LiveScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.77%EV -6.62%E -4.53%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Virgin Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.77%EV -6.62%E -4.53%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-01 00:04
Coral5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-03 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-03 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-03 18:19
Neds5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -17.68%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.90%E -5.48%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.11%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-03 18:19
Unibet (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 15.10%EV -18.40%E -3.23%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 62.83%EV -12.37%E -9.03%K -33.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.07%EV -15.28%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-03 18:25
PMU (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 15.74%EV -19.83%E -3.54%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.65%EV -8.54%E -5.97%K -19.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -15.28%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-02 05:29
Winamax (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -21.26%E -3.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.66%EV -10.46%E -7.47%K -26.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-03 18:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.03%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.2%2026-04-03 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.03%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.2%2026-04-03 18:35
Matchbook7.40I 13.51%NM 13.31%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.89%1.5%2026-04-03 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.63%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%1.9%2026-04-03 18:40