A Escola das Odds

Waterford FC v Dundalk

Início: 2026-05-04 16:00 UTC

Final: Waterford FC 3–3 Dundalk

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Waterford FC (Local)

Previsão 22.55%4.44odd justa
EV +1.46%
Vantagem +0.325%
Kelly +0.418%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.48%22.52%22.79%24.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.654.154.104.5027.40%24.10%24.39%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Dundalk (Visitante)

Previsão 53.64%1.86odd justa
EV -5.06%
Vantagem -2.86%
Kelly -6.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.65%53.58%55.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.601.701.701.7762.50%58.90%58.82%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.81%4.20odd justa
EV -3.08%
Vantagem -0.758%
Kelly -1.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.97%23.83%23.63%25.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.793.754.0730.30%26.38%26.67%24.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:15
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:15
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:15
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:15
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:15
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:15
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:15
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:15
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:15
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:14
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -0.791%E -0.180%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -10.96%E -6.60%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 14:15
Pinnacle4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -1.47%E -0.336%K -0.435%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.22%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -4.04%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 15:50
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -1.92%E -0.441%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.94%EV -12.03%E -7.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-04 14:15
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -1.92%E -0.441%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.94%EV -12.03%E -7.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-04 14:15
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -2.37%E -0.547%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 15:54
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -3.05%E -0.708%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -6.67%E -3.83%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 15:53
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -3.05%E -0.708%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -8.28%E -4.84%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.69%EV -6.18%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 15:55
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -3.05%E -0.708%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -8.28%E -4.84%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 15:54
PMU (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -3.05%E -0.708%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05%EV -14.18%E -8.86%K -23.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-04 14:15
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:54
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 15:55
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 15:55
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 15:55
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 15:55
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:55
1xBet4.07I 24.57%NM 22.97%EV -8.23%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.05%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 22.97%EV -3.08%E -0.758%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 15:55
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 15:50
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:49
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:45
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -6.67%E -3.83%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:44
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:55
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.28%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 15:44
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-04 15:44
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-04 15:55
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -10.94%E -2.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-04 15:50
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -10.94%E -2.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-04 15:55
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -6.67%E -3.83%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-04 15:44
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.85%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-04 15:55
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.15%EV -11.49%E -6.97%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-04 15:55
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.32%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-04 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.32%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-04 15:44
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.32%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-04 15:44
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.32%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-04 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.32%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-04 15:44
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -14.32%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.49%EV -12.57%E -7.71%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.56%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-04 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.47%EV -15.45%E -4.12%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 52.00%EV -13.10%E -8.09%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.53%EV -21.42%E -6.49%K -9.31%G +0.000%18.7%2026-05-04 15:55
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%EV -17.70%E -4.85%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.40%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-04 15:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-05-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-05-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-05-04 15:55
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-05-04 15:55