L’École des cotes

Waterford FC v Dundalk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-04 16:00 UTC

Score final : Waterford FC 3–3 Dundalk

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Waterford FC (Local)

Prévision 22.55%4.44cote équitable
EV +1.46%
Avantage +0.325%
Kelly +0.418%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.48%22.52%22.79%24.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.654.154.104.5027.40%24.10%24.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dundalk (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.64%1.86cote équitable
EV -5.06%
Avantage -2.86%
Kelly -6.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%53.65%53.58%55.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.701.701.7762.50%58.90%58.82%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.81%4.20cote équitable
EV -3.08%
Avantage -0.758%
Kelly -1.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.97%23.83%23.63%25.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.793.754.0730.30%26.38%26.67%24.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:15
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:15
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:15
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:15
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:15
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:15
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:15
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:15
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:15
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:14
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -0.791%E -0.180%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -10.96%E -6.60%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 14:15
Pinnacle4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -1.47%E -0.336%K -0.435%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.22%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -4.04%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 15:50
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -1.92%E -0.441%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.94%EV -12.03%E -7.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-04 14:15
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -1.92%E -0.441%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.94%EV -12.03%E -7.34%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-04 14:15
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -2.37%E -0.547%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 15:54
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -3.05%E -0.708%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -6.67%E -3.83%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-04 15:53
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -3.05%E -0.708%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -8.28%E -4.84%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.69%EV -6.18%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 15:55
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -3.05%E -0.708%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -8.28%E -4.84%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 15:54
PMU (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -3.05%E -0.708%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05%EV -14.18%E -8.86%K -23.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-04 14:15
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 15:54
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 15:55
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 15:55
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 15:55
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 15:55
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:55
1xBet4.07I 24.57%NM 22.97%EV -8.23%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.05%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 22.97%EV -3.08%E -0.758%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 15:55
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 15:50
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:49
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:45
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -6.67%E -3.83%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:44
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:55
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.28%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 15:44
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-04 15:44
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-04 15:55
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -10.94%E -2.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-04 15:50
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -10.94%E -2.77%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-04 15:55
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -6.67%E -3.83%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-04 15:44
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.85%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-04 15:55
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.15%EV -11.49%E -6.97%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-04 15:55
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.32%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-04 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.32%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-04 15:44
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.32%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-04 15:44
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.32%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-04 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.32%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-04 15:44
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -14.32%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.49%EV -12.57%E -7.71%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.56%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-04 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.47%EV -15.45%E -4.12%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 52.00%EV -13.10%E -8.09%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.53%EV -21.42%E -6.49%K -9.31%G +0.000%18.7%2026-05-04 15:55
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%EV -17.70%E -4.85%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.40%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-04 15:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-05-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-05-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-05-04 15:55
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-05-04 15:55