La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Waterford FC v Dundalk
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Waterford FC (Local)
Predicción 22.55%4.44momio equitativo
EV +1.46%
Ventaja +0.325%
Kelly +0.418%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.48%22.52%22.79%24.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.654.154.104.5027.40%24.10%24.39%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Dundalk (Visitante)
Predicción 53.64%1.86momio equitativo
EV -5.06%
Ventaja -2.86%
Kelly -6.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%53.65%53.58%55.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.701.701.7762.50%58.90%58.82%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.81%4.20momio equitativo
EV -3.08%
Ventaja -0.758%
Kelly -1.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.97%23.83%23.63%25.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.793.754.0730.30%26.38%26.67%24.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| BetRivers | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| TABtouch | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Casumo | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| LeoVegas | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| betPARX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 14:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV +1.46%E +0.325%K +0.418%G +0.006% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -0.791%E -0.180%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -10.96%E -6.60%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Pinnacle | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -1.47%E -0.336%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.22%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -4.04%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -1.92%E -0.441%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.94%EV -12.03%E -7.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -1.92%E -0.441%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.94%EV -12.03%E -7.34%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Everygame | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -2.37%E -0.547%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-04 15:54 |
| DraftKings | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -3.05%E -0.708%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -6.67%E -3.83%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 15:53 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -3.05%E -0.708%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -8.28%E -4.84%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.69%EV -6.18%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| FanDuel | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -3.05%E -0.708%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -8.28%E -4.84%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-04 15:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -3.05%E -0.708%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05%EV -14.18%E -8.86%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 15:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| BetAnything | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| PlayUp | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| 1xBet | 4.07I 24.57%NM 22.97%EV -8.23%E -2.02%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.05%EV -7.20%E -4.16%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 22.97%EV -3.08%E -0.758%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Bovada | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 15:49 |
| BetUS | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 15:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -6.67%E -3.83%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Bet Right | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.28%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Betsson | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -10.94%E -2.77%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -10.94%E -2.77%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.86%EV -6.13%E -3.50%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -6.67%E -3.83%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| Sky Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.85%EV -10.42%E -6.24%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -12.06%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.15%EV -11.49%E -6.97%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -14.28%E -3.97%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.32%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.74%E -4.50%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.32%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| Neds | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.32%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.32%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -14.32%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.81%E -5.18%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -14.32%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.49%EV -12.57%E -7.71%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.56%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.47%EV -15.45%E -4.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.00%EV -13.10%E -8.09%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.53%EV -21.42%E -6.49%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%EV -17.70%E -4.85%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.40%EV -9.88%E -5.88%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Matchbook | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |