Language:English
St Patricks Athletic v Waterford FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St Patricks Athletic (Local)
Prediction 68.83%1.45fair odd
EV -5.01%
Edge -3.63%
Kelly -13.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.98%68.77%68.93%70.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.341.351.3879.37%74.73%74.07%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Waterford FC (Visit)
Prediction 12.93%7.73fair odd
EV +6.67%
Edge +0.808%
Kelly +0.920%
Growth +0.061%
assuming max odds 8.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.50%12.97%12.89%14.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.097.008.2516.00%14.10%14.29%12.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.24%5.48fair odd
EV +0.846%
Edge +0.153%
Kelly +0.187%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 5.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.31%18.26%18.18%20.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.864.805.5322.73%20.59%20.83%18.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Patricks Athletic (Local): 68.83%; Waterford FC (Visit): 12.93%; Draw: 18.24%. For Waterford FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.73. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.38%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +6.67%E +0.808%K +0.920%G +0.061% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.26%E -0.811%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +3.44%E +0.430%K +0.491%G +0.017% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.99%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.93%EV +0.851%E +0.109%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.08%EV -6.08%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-28 18:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV +0.851%E +0.109%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -5.17%E -0.995%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.39%EV -5.70%E -4.16%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.57I 13.21%NM 12.38%EV -2.12%E -0.280%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.24%EV -11.19%E -2.30%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.38%EV -7.76%E -5.79%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -7.00%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.01%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.66%EV -6.26%E -0.863%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-28 18:26 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.98%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.47%EV -6.26%E -0.863%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -19.76%E -4.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-28 18:26 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.37%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.32%EV -7.04%E -0.979%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.31%EV +0.846%E +0.153%K +0.187%G +0.002% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.70%E -4.16%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -4.26%E -0.811%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -12.47%E -2.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -14.29%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-28 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-28 18:26 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-28 18:26 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-28 18:26 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-28 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -9.14%E -6.92%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -14.29%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-21 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -11.20%E -8.69%K -38.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -17.94%E -3.99%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-21 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -11.20%E -8.69%K -38.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -17.94%E -3.99%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.58%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.42%EV -12.08%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -12.47%E -2.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.58%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.42%EV -12.08%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -12.47%E -2.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 18:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.23%EV -11.20%E -8.69%K -38.63%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.04%EV -12.72%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -14.29%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 67.89%EV -13.27%E -10.53%K -51.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.67%EV -12.72%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.44%EV -19.76%E -4.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-21 18:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -15.96%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -4.26%E -0.811%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -15.96%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV -14.29%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.45%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.49%EV -15.96%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -11.20%E -8.69%K -38.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV -15.96%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -14.29%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -17.25%E -2.70%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -3.35%E -0.632%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -17.25%E -2.70%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.17%E -0.995%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 18:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -17.25%E -2.70%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.17%E -0.995%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 18:42 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -17.25%E -2.70%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.17%E -0.995%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 18:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.70%EV -7.76%E -5.79%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -19.19%E -3.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -7.00%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.38%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.34%EV -19.19%E -3.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 18:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 18:26 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 18:26 |