Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.25
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.53
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: St Patricks Athletic (Local): 68.83%; Waterford FC (Visitante): 12.93%; Empate: 18.24%. Para Waterford FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.73. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.67%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.38%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +6.67%E +0.808%K +0.920%G +0.061% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.26%E -0.811%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +3.44%E +0.430%K +0.491%G +0.017% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.99%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.93%EV +0.851%E +0.109%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.08%EV -6.08%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-28 18:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV +0.851%E +0.109%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -5.17%E -0.995%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.39%EV -5.70%E -4.16%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.57I 13.21%NM 12.38%EV -2.12%E -0.280%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.24%EV -11.19%E -2.30%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.38%EV -7.76%E -5.79%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -7.00%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.01%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.66%EV -6.26%E -0.863%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-28 18:26 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.98%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.47%EV -6.26%E -0.863%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -19.76%E -4.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-28 18:26 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.37%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.32%EV -7.04%E -0.979%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.31%EV +0.846%E +0.153%K +0.187%G +0.002% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.70%E -4.16%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -4.26%E -0.811%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -12.47%E -2.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -14.29%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-28 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-28 18:26 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-28 18:26 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-28 18:26 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-28 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -9.14%E -6.92%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -14.29%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-21 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -11.20%E -8.69%K -38.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -17.94%E -3.99%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-21 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -11.20%E -8.69%K -38.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -17.94%E -3.99%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.58%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.42%EV -12.08%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -12.47%E -2.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.58%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.42%EV -12.08%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -12.47%E -2.60%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 18:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.23%EV -11.20%E -8.69%K -38.63%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.04%EV -12.72%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -14.29%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 67.89%EV -13.27%E -10.53%K -51.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.67%EV -12.72%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.44%EV -19.76%E -4.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-21 18:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -15.96%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -4.26%E -0.811%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -15.96%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV -14.29%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.45%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.49%EV -15.96%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -11.20%E -8.69%K -38.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV -15.96%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -14.29%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -17.25%E -2.70%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -3.35%E -0.632%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -17.25%E -2.70%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.17%E -0.995%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 18:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -17.25%E -2.70%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.17%E -0.995%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 18:42 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -17.25%E -2.70%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.17%E -0.995%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 18:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.70%EV -7.76%E -5.79%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -19.19%E -3.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -7.00%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.38%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.34%EV -19.19%E -3.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-28 18:15 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 18:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 18:26 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 18:26 |