Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St Patricks Athletic v Waterford FC

Início: 2026-08-28 18:45 UTC

Final: St Patricks Athletic 0–2 Waterford FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Previsão 68.83%1.45odd justa
EV -5.01%
Vantagem -3.63%
Kelly -13.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.98%68.77%68.93%70.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.261.341.351.3879.37%74.73%74.07%72.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Waterford FC (Visitante)

Previsão 12.93%7.73odd justa
EV +6.67%
Vantagem +0.808%
Kelly +0.920%
Crescimento +0.061%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.50%12.97%12.89%14.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.257.097.008.2516.00%14.10%14.29%12.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 18.24%5.48odd justa
EV +0.846%
Vantagem +0.153%
Kelly +0.187%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.31%18.26%18.18%20.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.404.864.805.5322.73%20.59%20.83%18.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: St Patricks Athletic (Local): 68.83%; Waterford FC (Visitante): 12.93%; Empate: 18.24%. Para Waterford FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.73. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.67%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.38%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.21%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +6.67%E +0.808%K +0.920%G +0.061%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.26%E -0.811%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 18:15
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +3.44%E +0.430%K +0.491%G +0.017%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.99%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.93%EV +0.851%E +0.109%K +0.125%G +0.001%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.08%EV -6.08%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 18:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV +0.851%E +0.109%K +0.125%G +0.001%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -5.17%E -0.995%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 18:20
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.39%EV -5.70%E -4.16%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.57I 13.21%NM 12.38%EV -2.12%E -0.280%K -0.323%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.24%EV -11.19%E -2.30%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 18:35
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:50
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:50
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:50
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:49
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:49
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.38%EV -7.76%E -5.79%K -22.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -7.00%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-28 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 18:15
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -3.03%E -0.404%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-28 18:15
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.01%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.21%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.66%EV -6.26%E -0.863%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 18:26
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.98%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.21%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.47%EV -6.26%E -0.863%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -19.76%E -4.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-28 18:26
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.37%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.18%G +0.000%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.32%EV -7.04%E -0.979%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.31%EV +0.846%E +0.153%K +0.187%G +0.002%4.5%2026-08-28 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.70%E -4.16%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -4.26%E -0.811%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 18:40
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -12.47%E -2.60%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-28 18:15
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.40%EV -6.39%E -4.70%K -17.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -14.29%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-28 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-28 18:26
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-28 18:26
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-28 18:26
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-28 18:25
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.05%EV -9.14%E -6.92%K -28.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -14.29%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-21 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-28 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -13.38%E -2.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-28 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-21 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -11.20%E -8.69%K -38.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -17.94%E -3.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-21 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -11.20%E -8.69%K -38.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -17.94%E -3.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-21 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.58%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.21%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.42%EV -12.08%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -12.47%E -2.60%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 18:15
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.58%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.21%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.42%EV -12.08%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -12.47%E -2.60%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 18:14
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.23%EV -11.20%E -8.69%K -38.63%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.04%EV -12.72%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -14.29%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-28 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 67.89%EV -13.27%E -10.53%K -51.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.67%EV -12.72%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.44%EV -19.76%E -4.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-21 18:49
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -15.96%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -4.26%E -0.811%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 18:15
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -15.96%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV -14.29%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 18:35
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.45%EV -10.52%E -8.09%K -35.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.49%EV -15.96%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -16.11%E -3.50%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-28 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -11.20%E -8.69%K -38.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV -15.96%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -14.29%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-28 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -17.25%E -2.70%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -3.35%E -0.632%K -0.779%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -17.25%E -2.70%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.17%E -0.995%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 18:44
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -17.25%E -2.70%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.17%E -0.995%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 18:42
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -17.25%E -2.70%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.17%E -0.995%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 18:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.70%EV -7.76%E -5.79%K -22.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -19.19%E -3.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -7.00%E -1.37%K -1.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.38%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.61%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.34%EV -19.19%E -3.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -10.64%E -2.17%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-28 18:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-08-28 18:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-08-28 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-08-28 18:26
Matchbook◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-08-28 18:26