Language:English
St Patricks Athletic v Shelbourne Dublin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St Patricks Athletic (Local)
Prediction 52.05%1.92fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.40%51.90%52.13%53.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.791.771.8860.24%55.87%56.34%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shelbourne Dublin (Visit)
Prediction 21.48%4.66fair odd
EV +2.01%
Edge +0.424%
Kelly +0.537%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.13%21.60%21.51%23.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.124.004.7526.67%24.26%25.00%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.47%3.78fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -0.852%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.42%26.50%26.36%28.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.403.403.6633.33%29.37%29.41%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Patricks Athletic (Local): 52.05%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visit): 21.48%; Draw: 26.47%. For Shelbourne Dublin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.54%EV -5.26%E -2.89%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV +2.01%E +0.424%K +0.537%G +0.011% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.32%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.01%EV -5.78%E -3.20%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.77%EV -0.778%E -0.168%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.22%EV -3.12%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-15 18:36 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.35%E -0.746%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.33%EV -6.83%E -3.81%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.33%EV -6.83%E -3.81%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.58%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.68%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.58%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.68%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.40%EV -9.95%E -5.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.94%EV -7.01%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-15 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.11%EV -6.83%E -3.81%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.65%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.20%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-15 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.65%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.65%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:36 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.78%EV -5.78%E -3.20%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.90%EV -8.08%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.33%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.62%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -8.72%E -2.05%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.69%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.68%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.69%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.68%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.69%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.68%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -9.95%E -5.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.76%EV -8.39%E -4.77%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -11.95%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.26%EV -13.07%E -7.83%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.29%EV -11.95%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -9.95%E -5.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -20.59%E -6.86%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -2.14%E -1.14%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.68%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.31%EV -10.47%E -6.09%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.34%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.35%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.62%EV -4.74%E -2.59%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -16.24%E -4.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -9.95%E -5.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -16.24%E -4.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 51.85%EV -13.59%E -8.19%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.07%EV -16.24%E -4.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.08%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.40%EV -5.26%E -2.89%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -17.31%E -4.50%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.40%EV -5.26%E -2.89%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -17.31%E -4.50%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.45%EV -7.35%E -4.13%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -19.46%E -5.19%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.98% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.98% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.98% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.98% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-05-15 18:35 |