La escuela de los momiosSt Patricks Athletic v Shelbourne Dublin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
St Patricks Athletic (Local)
Predicción 52.05%1.92momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -2.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.40%51.90%52.13%53.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.791.771.8860.24%55.87%56.34%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shelbourne Dublin (Visitante)
Predicción 21.48%4.66momio equitativo
EV +2.01%
Ventaja +0.424%
Kelly +0.537%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.13%21.60%21.51%23.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.124.004.7526.67%24.26%25.00%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.47%3.78momio equitativo
EV -3.12%
Ventaja -0.852%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.42%26.50%26.36%28.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.403.403.6633.33%29.37%29.41%27.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.54%EV -5.26%E -2.89%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV +2.01%E +0.424%K +0.537%G +0.011% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.32%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.01%EV -5.78%E -3.20%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.77%EV -0.778%E -0.168%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.22%EV -3.12%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-15 18:36 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.35%E -0.746%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.33%EV -6.83%E -3.81%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.33%EV -6.83%E -3.81%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.58%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.68%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.58%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.68%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Everygame | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.40%EV -9.95%E -5.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.94%EV -7.01%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-15 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.11%EV -6.83%E -3.81%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.65%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.20%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-15 18:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.65%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.65%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:36 |
| 1xBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.78%EV -5.78%E -3.20%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.90%EV -8.08%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.33%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.62%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -8.72%E -2.05%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.69%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.68%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 18:35 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.69%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.68%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.69%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.68%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 18:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -9.95%E -5.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.76%EV -8.39%E -4.77%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -11.95%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.26%EV -13.07%E -7.83%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.29%EV -11.95%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 18:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -9.95%E -5.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -20.59%E -6.86%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -2.14%E -1.14%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.68%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.31%EV -10.47%E -6.09%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.34%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.35%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.62%EV -4.74%E -2.59%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -16.24%E -4.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -9.95%E -5.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -16.24%E -4.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 51.85%EV -13.59%E -8.19%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.07%EV -16.24%E -4.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.08%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.40%EV -5.26%E -2.89%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -17.31%E -4.50%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.40%EV -5.26%E -2.89%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -17.31%E -4.50%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.45%EV -7.35%E -4.13%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -19.46%E -5.19%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.98% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.98% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.98% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-05-15 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.98% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-05-15 18:35 |