L’École des cotes

St Patricks Athletic v Shelbourne Dublin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-15 18:45 UTC

Score final : St Patricks Athletic 0–1 Shelbourne Dublin

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Prévision 52.05%1.92cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -2.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.40%51.90%52.13%53.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.791.771.8860.24%55.87%56.34%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shelbourne Dublin (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.48%4.66cote équitable
EV +2.01%
Avantage +0.424%
Kelly +0.537%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.13%21.60%21.51%23.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.124.004.7526.67%24.26%25.00%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.47%3.78cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -0.852%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.42%26.50%26.36%28.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.403.403.6633.33%29.37%29.41%27.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.54%EV -5.26%E -2.89%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV +2.01%E +0.424%K +0.537%G +0.011%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.32%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 18:40
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.01%EV -5.78%E -3.20%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.77%EV -0.778%E -0.168%K -0.215%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.22%EV -3.12%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 18:36
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.35%E -0.746%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 18:20
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.33%EV -6.83%E -3.81%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.33%EV -6.83%E -3.81%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 18:20
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 18:40
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.50%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-15 18:25
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.58%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.68%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:10
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.31%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.58%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.68%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:10
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.40%EV -9.95%E -5.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.94%EV -7.01%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 18:19
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.11%EV -6.83%E -3.81%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.65%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.20%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 18:29
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.65%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:29
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.65%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:36
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.78%EV -5.78%E -3.20%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.90%EV -8.08%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.33%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.62%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -8.72%E -2.05%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-15 18:40
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 51.69%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.68%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 18:35
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 51.69%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.68%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 18:20
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 51.69%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.68%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 18:35
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 18:30
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:10
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -9.95%E -5.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-15 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.76%EV -8.39%E -4.77%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -11.95%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-15 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.26%EV -13.07%E -7.83%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.29%EV -11.95%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-15 18:20
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.87%E -4.44%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 18:19
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 18:30
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-15 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-15 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-15 18:10
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -8.91%E -5.09%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-15 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -9.95%E -5.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -20.59%E -6.86%K -10.29%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-15 18:15
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -2.14%E -1.14%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.68%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:10
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:10
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:10
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:10
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:10
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:10
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:10
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.42%EV -2.66%E -1.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:10
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.31%EV -10.47%E -6.09%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.34%EV -15.17%E -3.84%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.35%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-15 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.62%EV -4.74%E -2.59%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -16.24%E -4.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 18:10
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -9.95%E -5.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -16.24%E -4.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-15 18:30
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 51.85%EV -13.59%E -8.19%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.07%EV -16.24%E -4.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.08%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-15 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.40%EV -5.26%E -2.89%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -17.31%E -4.50%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 18:10
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.40%EV -5.26%E -2.89%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -17.31%E -4.50%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -12.65%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 18:10
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.45%EV -7.35%E -4.13%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -19.46%E -5.19%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -13.97%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-15 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 52.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-05-15 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 52.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-05-15 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 52.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-05-15 18:40
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 52.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-05-15 18:35