St Patricks Athletic v Dundalk

2026-07-24 19:00 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

59%

18%

23%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Prediction 58.64%1.71fair odd

EV +2.03%

Edge +1.16%

Kelly +2.74%

Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.15%58.64%58.64%59.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.501.661.691.7467%60%59%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Dundalk (Visit)

Prediction 18.41%5.43fair odd

EV -5.20%

Edge -1.01%

Kelly -1.25%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.11%18.41%18.41%21.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

4.104.394.305.1524%23%23%19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 22.96%4.36fair odd

EV -4.73%

Edge -1.14%

Kelly -1.50%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

22.48%22.96%22.96%25.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.503.693.654.1529%27%27%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV +2.03%E +1.16%K +2.74%G +0.056%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -20.85%E -4.85%K -6.32%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -16.21%E -4.44%K -6.12%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-17 19:29
Casumo	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV +2.03%E +1.16%K +2.74%G +0.056%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -20.85%E -4.85%K -6.32%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -16.21%E -4.44%K -6.12%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-17 19:29
TABtouch	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV +2.03%E +1.16%K +2.74%G +0.056%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -20.85%E -4.85%K -6.32%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -16.21%E -4.44%K -6.12%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-17 19:29
Unibet (NL)	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV +2.03%E +1.16%K +2.74%G +0.056%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -20.85%E -4.85%K -6.32%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -16.21%E -4.44%K -6.12%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-17 19:29
Grosvenor	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV +2.03%E +1.16%K +2.74%G +0.056%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -20.85%E -4.85%K -6.32%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -16.21%E -4.44%K -6.12%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-17 19:29
Svenska Spel	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV +2.03%E +1.16%K +2.74%G +0.056%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -20.85%E -4.85%K -6.32%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -16.21%E -4.44%K -6.12%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-17 19:29
ATG (SE)	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV +2.03%E +1.16%K +2.74%G +0.056%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -20.85%E -4.85%K -6.32%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -16.21%E -4.44%K -6.12%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-17 19:29
Unibet (SE)	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV +2.03%E +1.16%K +2.74%G +0.056%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -20.85%E -4.85%K -6.32%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -16.21%E -4.44%K -6.12%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-17 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV +0.268%E +0.157%K +0.377%G +0.001%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -21.77%E -5.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -17.36%E -4.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-07-17 19:30
Virgin Bet	1.68I 59.52%NM 53.38%EV -1.49%E -0.888%K -2.19%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -22.69%E -5.40%K -7.09%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -18.50%E -5.21%K -7.26%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-07-17 19:29
LiveScore Bet	1.68I 59.52%NM 53.38%EV -1.49%E -0.888%K -2.19%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -22.69%E -5.40%K -7.09%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -18.50%E -5.21%K -7.26%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-07-17 19:30
PMU (FR)	1.65I 60.61%NM 53.37%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.00%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.48%EV -24.53%E -5.98%K -7.91%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -19.65%E -5.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%	13.6%	2026-07-17 19:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.18%E -3.86%K -10.30%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.88%E -1.43%K -1.90%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-17 19:34
NordicBet	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.86%EV -6.18%E -3.86%K -10.30%G +0.000%	4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -8.88%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.32%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-17 20:24
Betsson	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.86%EV -6.18%E -3.86%K -10.30%G +0.000%	4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -8.88%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.32%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-17 20:24
Marathon Bet	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.94%E -5.06%K -13.93%G +0.000%	5.15I 19.42%NM 18.11%EV -5.20%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%	4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.73%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-17 20:20
Sky Bet	1.53I 65.36%NM 56.23%EV -10.29%E -6.72%K -19.41%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -20.30%E -4.69%K -6.10%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -17.36%E -4.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%	16.2%	2026-07-17 19:29
Winamax (DE)	1.52I 65.79%NM 57.29%EV -10.87%E -7.15%K -20.91%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 19.79%EV -19.01%E -4.32%K -5.59%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 22.92%EV -12.76%E -3.36%K -4.56%G +0.000%	14.8%	2026-07-17 20:24
Winamax (FR)	1.50I 66.67%NM 56.10%EV -12.05%E -8.03%K -24.09%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 20.52%EV -24.53%E -5.98%K -7.91%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 23.38%EV -17.36%E -4.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%	18.8%	2026-07-17 20:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.