Language:English
St Patricks Athletic v Dundalk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St Patricks Athletic (Local)
Prediction 63.00%1.59fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -6.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.86%62.99%62.93%65.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.451.441.5372.46%68.77%69.44%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dundalk (Visit)
Prediction 15.44%6.48fair odd
EV +0.373%
Edge +0.057%
Kelly +0.068%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.73%15.54%15.51%17.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.105.856.006.5019.61%17.10%16.67%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.56%4.64fair odd
EV +2.40%
Edge +0.504%
Kelly +0.639%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.15%21.47%21.56%23.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.224.224.7525.64%23.71%23.67%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Patricks Athletic (Local): 63.00%; Dundalk (Visit): 15.44%; Draw: 21.56%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.12%EV -7.39%E -5.03%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV +0.373%E +0.057%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.15%EV +2.40%E +0.504%K +0.639%G +0.015% | 4.5% | 2026-07-24 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.43%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.80%EV -0.090%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-24 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-24 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.81%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-24 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-24 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-24 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-24 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-24 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-24 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-24 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-24 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-24 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-24 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -9.91%E -6.93%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.00%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.03%EV -6.23%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.39%E -5.03%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -4.26%E -0.687%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -6.66%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-24 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.31%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-24 18:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -7.31%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-24 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -7.39%E -5.03%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -16.61%E -3.08%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -7.31%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-24 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -10.54%E -7.42%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.31%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-24 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.22%EV -11.98%E -2.10%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-24 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.22%EV -11.98%E -2.10%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-24 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.34%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-24 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.83%EV -11.17%E -7.92%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-24 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.83%EV -11.17%E -7.92%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-24 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-24 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-24 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-24 18:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-24 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-24 18:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-24 18:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.80%E -8.43%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-24 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.84%EV -13.06%E -9.46%K -34.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.19%EV -10.44%E -1.80%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-24 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.99%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.66%EV -10.54%E -2.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-24 18:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.38%EV -9.91%E -6.93%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -21.25%E -4.17%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -11.62%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-24 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.12%EV -3.61%E -2.36%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.86I 17.06%NM 15.96%EV -9.51%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 22.92%EV -12.05%E -2.95%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-24 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-24 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-24 18:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-24 18:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-24 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-24 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-24 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-24 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-24 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-24 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-24 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.64%EV -9.91%E -6.93%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.32%EV -16.61%E -3.08%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-24 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -10.44%E -1.80%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -15.93%E -4.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-24 18:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.98%EV -11.17%E -7.92%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.61%EV -13.52%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.41%EV -15.93%E -4.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-24 18:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 0.5% | 2026-07-24 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 0.5% | 2026-07-24 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 0.5% | 2026-07-24 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-07-24 18:55 |