L’École des cotes

St Patricks Athletic v Dundalk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-24 19:00 UTC

Score final : St Patricks Athletic 1–1 Dundalk

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Prévision 63.00%1.59cote équitable
EV -3.61%
Avantage -2.36%
Kelly -6.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.86%62.99%62.93%65.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.451.441.5372.46%68.77%69.44%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dundalk (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.44%6.48cote équitable
EV +0.373%
Avantage +0.057%
Kelly +0.068%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.73%15.54%15.51%17.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.105.856.006.5019.61%17.10%16.67%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.56%4.64cote équitable
EV +2.40%
Avantage +0.504%
Kelly +0.639%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.15%21.47%21.56%23.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.224.224.7525.64%23.71%23.67%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.12%EV -7.39%E -5.03%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV +0.373%E +0.057%K +0.068%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.15%EV +2.40%E +0.504%K +0.639%G +0.015%4.5%2026-07-24 18:35
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.43%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.80%EV -0.090%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-24 18:55
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 18:30
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.81%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 18:20
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 18:20
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 18:20
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 18:20
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 18:20
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 18:20
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 18:20
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 18:35
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -9.91%E -6.93%K -23.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.00%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.03%EV -6.23%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 18:20
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.39%E -5.03%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -4.26%E -0.687%K -0.819%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -6.66%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 18:55
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.31%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 18:44
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -7.31%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -7.39%E -5.03%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -16.61%E -3.08%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -7.31%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -10.54%E -7.42%K -25.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.31%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 18:20
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.22%EV -11.98%E -2.10%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 18:40
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.22%EV -11.98%E -2.10%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.34%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 18:35
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.83%EV -11.17%E -7.92%K -27.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.83%EV -11.17%E -7.92%K -27.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 18:55
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 18:55
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 18:54
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-24 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-24 18:45
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-24 18:45
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.80%E -8.43%K -29.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-24 18:35
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.84%EV -13.06%E -9.46%K -34.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.19%EV -10.44%E -1.80%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-24 18:20
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 61.99%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.66%EV -10.54%E -2.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-24 18:45
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.38%EV -9.91%E -6.93%K -23.04%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -21.25%E -4.17%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -11.62%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-24 18:45
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.12%EV -3.61%E -2.36%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 15.96%EV -9.51%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.92%EV -12.05%E -2.95%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 18:50
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 18:54
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 18:55
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 18:55
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-24 18:40
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 18:35
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-24 18:45
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-24 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-24 18:30
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-24 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-24 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.64%EV -9.91%E -6.93%K -23.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.32%EV -16.61%E -3.08%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-24 18:45
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -10.44%E -1.80%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -15.93%E -4.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 18:49
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 61.98%EV -11.17%E -7.92%K -27.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.61%EV -13.52%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.41%EV -15.93%E -4.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-24 18:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-07-24 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-07-24 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-07-24 18:55
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-07-24 18:55