La escuela de los momios

St Patricks Athletic v Dundalk

Inicio: 2026-07-24 19:00 UTC

Final: St Patricks Athletic 1–1 Dundalk

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St Patricks Athletic (Local)

Predicción 63.00%1.59momio equitativo
EV -3.61%
Ventaja -2.36%
Kelly -6.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.86%62.99%62.93%65.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.451.441.5372.46%68.77%69.44%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dundalk (Visitante)

Predicción 15.44%6.48momio equitativo
EV +0.373%
Ventaja +0.057%
Kelly +0.068%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.73%15.54%15.51%17.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.105.856.006.5019.61%17.10%16.67%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.56%4.64momio equitativo
EV +2.40%
Ventaja +0.504%
Kelly +0.639%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.15%21.47%21.56%23.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.224.224.7525.64%23.71%23.67%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.12%EV -7.39%E -5.03%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV +0.373%E +0.057%K +0.068%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.15%EV +2.40%E +0.504%K +0.639%G +0.015%4.5%2026-07-24 18:35
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.43%EV -4.87%E -3.22%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.80%EV -0.090%E -0.014%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-24 18:55
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 18:30
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.81%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 18:20
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 18:20
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 18:20
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 18:20
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 18:20
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 18:20
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 63.97%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 18:20
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.15%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 18:35
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -9.91%E -6.93%K -23.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.00%EV -5.80%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.03%EV -6.23%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 18:20
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.39%E -5.03%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -4.26%E -0.687%K -0.819%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -6.66%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 18:55
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.31%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 18:44
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -7.31%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -7.39%E -5.03%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -16.61%E -3.08%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -7.31%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -10.54%E -7.42%K -25.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.31%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 18:20
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.22%EV -11.98%E -2.10%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 18:40
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.22%EV -11.98%E -2.10%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.34%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 18:35
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.83%EV -11.17%E -7.92%K -27.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.83%EV -11.17%E -7.92%K -27.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -8.38%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 18:55
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -6.13%E -4.11%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 18:55
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 18:54
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-24 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-24 18:45
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-24 18:45
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.80%E -8.43%K -29.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-24 18:35
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.84%EV -13.06%E -9.46%K -34.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.19%EV -10.44%E -1.80%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -9.46%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-24 18:20
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 61.99%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.66%EV -10.54%E -2.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-24 18:45
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.38%EV -9.91%E -6.93%K -23.04%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -21.25%E -4.17%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -11.62%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-24 18:45
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.12%EV -3.61%E -2.36%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 15.96%EV -9.51%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.92%EV -12.05%E -2.95%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 18:50
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 18:54
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 18:55
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 18:55
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.65%E -5.96%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -7.35%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-24 18:40
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -6.76%E -4.57%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 18:35
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-24 18:45
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-24 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-24 18:30
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-24 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.28%E -6.44%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-24 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.64%EV -9.91%E -6.93%K -23.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.32%EV -16.61%E -3.08%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.77%E -3.44%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-24 18:45
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -5.50%E -3.67%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -10.44%E -1.80%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -15.93%E -4.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 18:49
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 61.98%EV -11.17%E -7.92%K -27.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.61%EV -13.52%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.41%EV -15.93%E -4.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-24 18:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-07-24 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-07-24 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-07-24 18:55
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-07-24 18:55