Language:English
Sligo Rovers v Drogheda United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sligo Rovers (Local)
Prediction 30.63%3.27fair odd
EV -0.766%
Edge -0.236%
Kelly -0.342%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%30.66%30.60%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.953.003.2435.71%33.88%33.33%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Drogheda United (Visit)
Prediction 41.01%2.44fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.657%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.20%40.94%41.03%42.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.272.252.4048.08%44.12%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.36%3.53fair odd
EV -0.446%
Edge -0.127%
Kelly -0.178%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.64%28.40%28.37%30.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.193.203.5135.71%31.32%31.25%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sligo Rovers (Local): 30.63%; Drogheda United (Visit): 41.01%; Draw: 28.36%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.51, with an expected value of -0.446%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.80%EV -0.766%E -0.236%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.80%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.80%EV -0.766%E -0.236%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.80%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.96%EV -4.75%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.97%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.07%EV -2.72%E -0.792%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 18:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 19:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.78%E -4.45%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -7.50%E -2.48%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.50%E -2.85%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.06%EV -7.81%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -9.37%E -4.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.64%EV -0.446%E -0.127%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 19:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.78%E -4.45%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.78%E -4.45%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.78%E -4.45%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.78%E -4.45%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 19:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 19:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -13.88%E -6.61%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -20.58%E -7.35%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-07 19:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.78%E -4.45%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.25%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.17%EV -14.70%E -7.07%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.58%EV -9.81%E -3.08%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-07 19:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.09%EV -12.10%E -4.22%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.12%EV -13.88%E -6.61%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-07 19:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -14.24%E -5.09%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -2.40%E -1.01%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -14.24%E -5.09%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -14.24%E -5.09%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.24%E -5.09%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-07 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 19:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 19:35 |