Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sligo Rovers v Drogheda United

Início: 2026-03-07 19:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sligo Rovers (Local)

Previsão 30.63%3.27odd justa
EV -0.766%
Vantagem -0.236%
Kelly -0.342%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.57%30.66%30.60%32.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.953.003.2435.71%33.88%33.33%30.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Drogheda United (Visitante)

Previsão 41.01%2.44odd justa
EV -1.58%
Vantagem -0.657%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.20%40.94%41.03%42.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.082.272.252.4048.08%44.12%44.44%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.36%3.53odd justa
EV -0.446%
Vantagem -0.127%
Kelly -0.178%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.64%28.40%28.37%30.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.193.203.5135.71%31.32%31.25%28.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sligo Rovers (Local): 30.63%; Drogheda United (Visitante): 41.01%; Empate: 28.36%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.53. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.51, com valor esperado de -0.446%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.80%EV -0.766%E -0.236%K -0.342%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.80%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 18:44
LowVig.ag🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.80%EV -0.766%E -0.236%K -0.342%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.80%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 18:44
Pinnacle🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.96%EV -4.75%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.97%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.07%EV -2.72%E -0.792%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 19:35
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 18:38
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 19:34
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.78%E -4.45%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -7.50%E -2.48%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.50%E -2.85%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:20
1xBet🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.06%EV -7.81%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -9.37%E -4.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.64%EV -0.446%E -0.127%K -0.178%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:34
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 18:39
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:39
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:40
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:49
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:45
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.78%E -4.45%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 18:39
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.78%E -4.45%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 19:40
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.78%E -4.45%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 19:39
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 19:19
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.78%E -4.45%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 19:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 18:40
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 18:40
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 18:39
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-07 19:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -13.88%E -6.61%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -20.58%E -7.35%K -11.44%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-07 19:34
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.78%E -4.45%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 18:39
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 19:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.25%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.17%EV -14.70%E -7.07%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.58%EV -9.81%E -3.08%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 19:39
SportsBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.09%EV -12.10%E -4.22%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.12%EV -13.88%E -6.61%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-07 19:35
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:49
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:49
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:49
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:49
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:49
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:50
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -14.24%E -5.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -2.40%E -1.01%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -14.24%E -5.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -14.24%E -5.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 18:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.24%E -5.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 18:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-03-07 19:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-03-07 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-03-07 19:35
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-03-07 19:35