La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sligo Rovers v Drogheda United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sligo Rovers (Local)
Predicción 30.63%3.27momio equitativo
EV -0.766%
Ventaja -0.236%
Kelly -0.342%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.57%30.66%30.60%32.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.953.003.2435.71%33.88%33.33%30.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Drogheda United (Visitante)
Predicción 41.01%2.44momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.657%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.20%40.94%41.03%42.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.082.272.252.4048.08%44.12%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.36%3.53momio equitativo
EV -0.446%
Ventaja -0.127%
Kelly -0.178%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.64%28.40%28.37%30.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.193.203.5135.71%31.32%31.25%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.80%EV -0.766%E -0.236%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.80%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.80%EV -0.766%E -0.236%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.80%EV -5.27%E -2.28%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Pinnacle | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.96%EV -4.75%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.97%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.07%EV -2.72%E -0.792%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 19:35 |
| DraftKings | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.68%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 18:38 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 19:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.05%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.78%E -4.45%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -7.50%E -2.48%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -6.50%E -2.85%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| 1xBet | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.06%EV -7.81%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -9.37%E -4.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.64%EV -0.446%E -0.127%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 19:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:40 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Bet Right | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.78%E -4.45%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.78%E -4.45%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| BetAnything | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.78%E -4.45%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:39 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.78%E -4.45%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 19:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 18:40 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 18:40 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 19:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -13.88%E -6.61%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -20.58%E -7.35%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-07 19:34 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.78%E -4.45%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.73%E -3.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.25%EV -11.18%E -3.85%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.17%EV -14.70%E -7.07%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.58%EV -9.81%E -3.08%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-07 19:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.09%EV -12.10%E -4.22%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.12%EV -13.88%E -6.61%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-07 19:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Casumo | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Unibet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| betPARX | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -12.71%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -14.24%E -5.09%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -2.40%E -1.01%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -14.24%E -5.09%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -14.24%E -5.09%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -3.63%E -1.54%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.24%E -5.09%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -11.83%E -5.50%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-07 18:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 19:35 |
| Matchbook | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 19:35 |