Language:English
Sligo Rovers v Derry City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sligo Rovers (Local)
Prediction 24.61%4.06fair odd
EV +0.906%
Edge +0.221%
Kelly +0.292%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.43%24.43%24.63%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.813.764.1028.99%26.22%26.56%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Derry City (Visit)
Prediction 46.77%2.14fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -3.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.60%46.94%46.77%49.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.921.912.0556.18%52.12%52.36%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.61%3.49fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -0.798%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%28.63%28.60%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.213.253.4034.72%31.15%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sligo Rovers (Local): 24.61%; Derry City (Visit): 46.77%; Draw: 28.61%. For Sligo Rovers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.906%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.57%EV -13.00%E -6.99%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -1.55%E -0.389%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -1.55%E -0.389%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 15:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -1.55%E -0.389%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -14.40%E -7.87%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -2.79%E -0.705%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.62%EV -15.34%E -8.47%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -2.79%E -0.705%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.62%EV -15.34%E -8.47%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.56%EV -3.77%E -0.964%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.85%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.58%EV -3.86%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.02%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.02%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -4.02%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.47%EV -16.74%E -9.40%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -5.25%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -2.71%E -0.798%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -6.48%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-06 15:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.73%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.60%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.67%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -5.98%E -2.98%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -7.86%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 15:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:41 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -9.26%E -4.77%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -8.94%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 15:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.94%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.94%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 15:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.94%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 15:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -10.17%E -2.79%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.40%E -3.17%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -11.40%E -3.17%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.57%EV -8.32%E -4.25%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 15:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.40%E -3.17%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.40%E -3.17%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -7.39%E -3.73%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-06 15:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -11.40%E -3.17%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.34%EV -13.00%E -6.99%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.72%EV -17.02%E -5.87%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -11.40%E -3.17%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -14.40%E -7.87%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -17.59%E -6.11%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.86%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.86%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.86%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.86%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -13.86%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.61%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.75%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-06 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -15.09%E -4.37%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.22%EV -11.13%E -5.86%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-06 15:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.26% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34% | 1.7% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.26% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34% | 1.7% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.26% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34% | 1.7% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.26% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34% | 1.7% | 2026-04-06 15:45 |