La escuela de los momios

Sligo Rovers v Derry City

Inicio: 2026-04-06 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sligo Rovers (Local)

Predicción 24.61%4.06momio equitativo
EV +0.906%
Ventaja +0.221%
Kelly +0.292%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.43%24.43%24.63%25.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.813.764.1028.99%26.22%26.56%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Derry City (Visitante)

Predicción 46.77%2.14momio equitativo
EV -4.11%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -3.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.60%46.94%46.77%49.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.921.912.0556.18%52.12%52.36%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.61%3.49momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -0.798%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.44%28.63%28.60%29.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.213.253.4034.72%31.15%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.57%EV -13.00%E -6.99%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 15:35
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:35
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:35
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:35
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:35
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:35
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:35
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:35
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:35
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:35
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:35
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -1.55%E -0.389%K -0.518%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 15:50
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -1.55%E -0.389%K -0.518%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -1.55%E -0.389%K -0.518%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -14.40%E -7.87%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 15:35
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -2.79%E -0.705%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.62%EV -15.34%E -8.47%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 15:35
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -2.79%E -0.705%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.62%EV -15.34%E -8.47%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 15:35
Pinnacle3.91I 25.58%NM 24.56%EV -3.77%E -0.964%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.85%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.58%EV -3.86%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 15:35
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.02%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 15:35
BetOnline.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.02%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 15:35
PMU (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -4.02%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.47%EV -16.74%E -9.40%K -21.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-06 15:35
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -5.25%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -2.71%E -0.798%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 15:30
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -6.48%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 15:49
1xBet3.78I 26.46%NM 24.73%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.60%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.67%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 15:50
Marathon Bet3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -5.98%E -2.98%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -7.86%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 15:45
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 15:40
Betsson3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 15:40
NordicBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 15:40
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:30
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:41
Bet Right3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -9.26%E -4.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:30
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-06 15:50
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -8.94%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 15:45
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.94%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 13:18
BetUS3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.94%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 15:54
BetAnything3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.94%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 15:54
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -10.17%E -2.79%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 15:35
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.40%E -3.17%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:35
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -11.40%E -3.17%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.57%EV -8.32%E -4.25%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 15:40
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.40%E -3.17%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 15:30
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.40%E -3.17%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -7.39%E -3.73%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-06 15:54
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -11.40%E -3.17%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.34%EV -13.00%E -6.99%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.72%EV -17.02%E -5.87%K -8.96%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-06 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -11.40%E -3.17%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -14.40%E -7.87%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -17.59%E -6.11%K -9.36%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-06 15:30
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.86%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.86%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.86%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 15:29
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.86%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 15:30
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -13.86%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.61%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.75%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-06 15:40
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -15.09%E -4.37%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.22%EV -11.13%E -5.86%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-06 15:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.26%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34%1.7%2026-04-06 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.26%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34%1.7%2026-04-06 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.26%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34%1.7%2026-04-06 15:50
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.26%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34%1.7%2026-04-06 15:45