Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sligo Rovers v Derry City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sligo Rovers (Local)

Prévision 24.61%4.06cote équitable
EV +0.906%
Avantage +0.221%
Kelly +0.292%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.43%24.43%24.63%25.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.813.764.1028.99%26.22%26.56%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Derry City (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.77%2.14cote équitable
EV -4.11%
Avantage -2.01%
Kelly -3.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.60%46.94%46.77%49.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.921.912.0556.18%52.12%52.36%48.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.61%3.49cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -0.798%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.44%28.63%28.60%29.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.213.253.4034.72%31.15%30.77%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sligo Rovers (Local) : 24.61% ; Derry City (Visiteur) : 46.77% ; Match nul : 28.61%. Pour Sligo Rovers (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.06. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.10, soit une espérance positive de +0.906%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.57%EV -13.00%E -6.99%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:35
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:35
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:35
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:35
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:35
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:35
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +0.906%E +0.221%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:35
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -1.55%E -0.389%K -0.518%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -1.55%E -0.389%K -0.518%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -1.55%E -0.389%K -0.518%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -14.40%E -7.87%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -2.79%E -0.705%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.62%EV -15.34%E -8.47%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 15:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -2.79%E -0.705%K -0.944%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.62%EV -15.34%E -8.47%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 15:35
Pinnacle🎯3.91I 25.58%NM 24.56%EV -3.77%E -0.964%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.85%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.58%EV -3.86%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 15:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.02%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.02%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 15:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -4.02%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.47%EV -16.74%E -9.40%K -21.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-06 15:35
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -5.25%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -2.71%E -0.798%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 15:30
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -6.48%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 15:49
1xBet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.73%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.60%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.67%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -6.97%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -5.98%E -2.98%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -7.86%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 15:40
Betsson🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 15:40
NordicBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 15:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:30
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:41
Bet Right🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -9.26%E -4.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:30
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-06 15:50
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -8.94%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -4.11%E -2.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 15:45
William Hill🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.94%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 13:18
BetUS🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.94%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 15:54
BetAnything🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.94%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 15:54
Everygame🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -10.17%E -2.79%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -8.79%E -4.51%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 15:35
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.40%E -3.17%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.45%E -3.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -11.40%E -3.17%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.57%EV -8.32%E -4.25%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 15:40
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.40%E -3.17%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 15:30
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.40%E -3.17%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -7.39%E -3.73%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-06 15:54
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.94%EV -11.40%E -3.17%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.34%EV -13.00%E -6.99%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.72%EV -17.02%E -5.87%K -8.96%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-06 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -11.40%E -3.17%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -14.40%E -7.87%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -17.59%E -6.11%K -9.36%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-06 15:30
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.86%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.86%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.86%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 15:29
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.86%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.66%E -5.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -13.86%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.61%EV -13.47%E -7.28%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.75%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-06 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -15.09%E -4.37%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.22%EV -11.13%E -5.86%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-06 15:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.26%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34%1.7%2026-04-06 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.26%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34%1.7%2026-04-06 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.26%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34%1.7%2026-04-06 15:50
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.26%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34%1.7%2026-04-06 15:45