Language:English
Shelbourne Dublin v Waterford FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shelbourne Dublin (Local)
Prediction 65.40%1.53fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -8.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.92%65.31%65.44%66.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.411.411.4775.19%71.02%70.92%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Waterford FC (Visit)
Prediction 13.73%7.28fair odd
EV +1.59%
Edge +0.215%
Kelly +0.249%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 7.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.61%13.80%13.69%15.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.706.656.757.4017.54%15.05%14.81%13.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.87%4.79fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -0.632%
Kelly -0.805%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.88%20.89%20.87%22.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.304.254.6526.67%23.26%23.53%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 65.40%; Waterford FC (Visit): 13.73%; Draw: 20.87%. For Waterford FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.28. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.65%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.59%E +0.215%K +0.249%G +0.004% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.65%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.59%E +0.215%K +0.249%G +0.004% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.65%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.59%E +0.215%K +0.249%G +0.004% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.57%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.17%EV -2.25%E -0.316%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.26%EV -7.95%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.67%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-22 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.00%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -3.98%E -0.865%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.14%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-22 18:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.62%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -2.94%E -0.632%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 11:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -11.06%E -8.13%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -9.62%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.04%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.72%EV -4.31%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -6.65%E -0.977%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.16%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.58%EV -7.14%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -7.33%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.90%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -7.33%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.75%E -7.07%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -7.33%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -14.42%E -3.52%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.75%E -7.07%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -7.33%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -14.42%E -3.52%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.14%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.04%EV -7.14%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -7.11%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.04%EV -7.14%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -7.11%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 14:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-22 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-22 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -11.06%E -8.13%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -9.62%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -11.06%E -8.13%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -16.51%E -4.13%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.14%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -14.20%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -9.62%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-22 18:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -7.14%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -14.20%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -10.24%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -14.20%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.99%EV -12.37%E -9.23%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.28%EV -16.26%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.73%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.87%EV -7.79%E -5.52%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -3.98%E -0.865%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -10.24%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.68%EV -13.02%E -9.79%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.34%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.98%EV -14.42%E -3.52%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 62.92%EV -11.06%E -8.13%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -21.72%E -5.79%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.15%EV -10.41%E -7.59%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.42%EV -21.75%E -3.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.44%EV -10.24%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 0.8% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.18% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.16% | 1.3% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49% | 1.7% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49% | 1.7% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |