L’École des cotes

Shelbourne Dublin v Waterford FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-22 18:45 UTC

Score final : Shelbourne Dublin 2–1 Waterford FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Prévision 65.40%1.53cote équitable
EV -3.87%
Avantage -2.63%
Kelly -8.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.92%65.31%65.44%66.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.411.411.4775.19%71.02%70.92%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Waterford FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.73%7.28cote équitable
EV +1.59%
Avantage +0.215%
Kelly +0.249%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 7.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.61%13.80%13.69%15.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.706.656.757.4017.54%15.05%14.81%13.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.87%4.79cote équitable
EV -2.94%
Avantage -0.632%
Kelly -0.805%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.88%20.89%20.87%22.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.304.254.6526.67%23.26%23.53%21.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 66.65%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.59%E +0.215%K +0.249%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 18:40
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 66.65%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.59%E +0.215%K +0.249%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 18:40
BetAnything1.40I 71.43%NM 66.65%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.59%E +0.215%K +0.249%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 18:40
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.57%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.17%EV -2.25%E -0.316%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.26%EV -7.95%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-22 18:40
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.67%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-22 14:00
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.00%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -3.98%E -0.865%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 18:40
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.14%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 18:38
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.62%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -2.94%E -0.632%K -0.805%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 18:40
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 17:50
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 17:50
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 17:50
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 17:50
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 11:50
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 17:50
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 17:50
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 17:50
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 17:50
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 17:50
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:40
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -11.06%E -8.13%K -30.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -9.62%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-22 18:40
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.04%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.97I 14.35%NM 13.72%EV -4.31%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -6.65%E -0.977%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.16%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-22 17:40
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 64.58%EV -7.14%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -7.33%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.90%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -7.33%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-22 17:50
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.75%E -7.07%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -7.33%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -14.42%E -3.52%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-22 17:50
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.75%E -7.07%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -7.33%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -14.42%E -3.52%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-22 17:50
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.14%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:40
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.04%EV -7.14%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -7.11%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-22 18:40
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.04%EV -7.14%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -7.11%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-22 18:40
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 14:01
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 14:00
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-22 13:50
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-22 18:39
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-22 18:40
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -11.06%E -8.13%K -30.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -9.62%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-22 18:40
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -11.06%E -8.13%K -30.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -16.51%E -4.13%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-22 17:50
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 64.14%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -14.20%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -9.62%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 18:39
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -7.14%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -14.20%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -10.24%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-22 18:40
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -14.20%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-22 18:40
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 64.99%EV -12.37%E -9.23%K -36.37%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.28%EV -16.26%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.73%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-22 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.87%EV -7.79%E -5.52%K -19.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -3.98%E -0.865%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 18:40
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -10.24%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-22 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-22 18:40
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-22 18:40
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-22 18:40
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 64.68%EV -13.02%E -9.79%K -39.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.34%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.98%EV -14.42%E -3.52%K -4.65%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-22 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 62.92%EV -11.06%E -8.13%K -30.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -21.72%E -5.79%K -7.90%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-22 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 64.15%EV -10.41%E -7.59%K -28.12%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.42%EV -21.75%E -3.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.44%EV -10.24%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-22 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%0.8%2026-05-22 18:40
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.18%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.16%1.3%2026-05-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%1.7%2026-05-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%1.7%2026-05-22 18:40