La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Shelbourne Dublin v Waterford FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shelbourne Dublin (Local)
Predicción 65.40%1.53momio equitativo
EV -3.87%
Ventaja -2.63%
Kelly -8.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.92%65.31%65.44%66.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.411.411.4775.19%71.02%70.92%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Waterford FC (Visitante)
Predicción 13.73%7.28momio equitativo
EV +1.59%
Ventaja +0.215%
Kelly +0.249%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.61%13.80%13.69%15.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.706.656.757.4017.54%15.05%14.81%13.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.87%4.79momio equitativo
EV -2.94%
Ventaja -0.632%
Kelly -0.805%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.88%20.89%20.87%22.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.304.254.6526.67%23.26%23.53%21.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.65%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.59%E +0.215%K +0.249%G +0.004% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.65%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.59%E +0.215%K +0.249%G +0.004% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.65%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV +1.59%E +0.215%K +0.249%G +0.004% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.57%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.17%EV -2.25%E -0.316%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.26%EV -7.95%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.67%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-22 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.00%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -3.98%E -0.865%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.14%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-22 18:38 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.62%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -2.94%E -0.632%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 11:50 |
| Unibet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| betPARX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -11.06%E -8.13%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -3.90%E -0.557%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -9.62%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.04%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.72%EV -4.31%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -6.65%E -0.977%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.16%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.58%EV -7.14%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -7.33%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.90%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -7.33%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.75%E -7.07%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -7.33%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -14.42%E -3.52%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.75%E -7.07%K -25.66%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -7.33%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -14.42%E -3.52%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.14%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.04%EV -7.14%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -7.11%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.04%EV -7.14%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -7.11%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 14:01 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 14:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-22 13:50 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-22 18:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -11.06%E -8.13%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -9.62%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -11.06%E -8.13%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -10.76%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -16.51%E -4.13%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.14%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -14.20%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -9.62%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-22 18:39 |
| Bovada | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -7.14%E -5.02%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -14.20%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -10.24%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -14.20%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.99%EV -12.37%E -9.23%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.28%EV -16.26%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.73%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.87%EV -7.79%E -5.52%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -3.98%E -0.865%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -10.24%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.44%E -6.03%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.68%EV -13.02%E -9.79%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.34%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.98%EV -14.42%E -3.52%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 62.92%EV -11.06%E -8.13%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -17.63%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -21.72%E -5.79%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.15%EV -10.41%E -7.59%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.42%EV -21.75%E -3.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.44%EV -10.24%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 0.8% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.18% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.16% | 1.3% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49% | 1.7% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49% | 1.7% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |