Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shelbourne Dublin v St Patricks Athletic

2026-08-09 16:00 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Prediction 30.91%3.23fair odd
EV -5.72%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.22%30.83%30.91%31.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.993.023.0535.71%33.47%33.06%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St Patricks Athletic (Visit)

Prediction 40.85%2.45fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -2.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.14%40.63%40.85%42.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.222.252.3548.78%45.02%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.23%3.54fair odd
EV -6.27%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.31%28.54%28.23%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.223.253.3232.26%31.03%30.77%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 30.91%; St Patricks Athletic (Visit): 40.85%; Draw: 28.23%. For St Patricks Athletic (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.35, with an expected value of -3.99%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 16:14
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 16:15
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 16:15
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 16:15
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 16:15
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 16:15
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 16:15
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 16:15
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 16:15
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -9.30%E -4.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 16:15
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -9.30%E -4.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 16:15
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.56%EV -5.63%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.22%EV -6.27%E -1.89%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 20:05
Marathon Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.76%EV -6.44%E -2.81%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.12%EV -6.27%E -1.89%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 19:55
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 16:15
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -8.89%E -3.99%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 16:15
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -11.07%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 16:15
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -11.07%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 16:15
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -10.97%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -12.16%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 16:14
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -11.90%E -4.17%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -14.20%E -6.76%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 16:15
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.22%EV -11.90%E -4.17%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.01%EV -16.25%E -7.93%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-02 16:14
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.72%EV -13.44%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.97%EV -16.25%E -7.93%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.31%EV -11.07%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-02 16:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.