Language:English
Shelbourne Dublin v St Patricks Athletic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shelbourne Dublin (Local)
Prediction 27.59%3.62fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -0.898%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.99%27.59%27.54%28.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.303.303.5131.75%30.30%30.30%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St Patricks Athletic (Visit)
Prediction 44.61%2.24fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.64%44.60%44.68%45.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.062.062.1550.76%48.48%48.54%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.80%3.60fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -0.769%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.69%27.81%27.78%29.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.273.303.5032.79%30.59%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 27.59%; St Patricks Athletic (Visit): 44.61%; Draw: 27.80%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -2.69%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.42%EV -3.15%E -0.898%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.76%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.82%EV -3.80%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 09:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -5.44%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.69%E -0.769%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 15:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 15:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 15:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 15:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 15:32 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 15:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -13.81%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 15:57 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-09 15:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-09 15:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-09 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -8.11%E -3.94%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.81%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-09 15:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.96%EV -9.00%E -4.41%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.96%EV -9.00%E -4.41%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.81%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-09 15:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.22%EV -12.13%E -6.16%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.56%EV -15.20%E -4.98%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-09 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -13.09%E -4.15%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -13.09%E -4.15%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.06%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
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