Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shelbourne Dublin v St Patricks Athletic

Início: 2026-08-09 16:00 UTC

Final: Shelbourne Dublin 1–2 St Patricks Athletic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Previsão 27.59%3.62odd justa
EV -3.15%
Vantagem -0.898%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.99%27.59%27.54%28.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.303.303.5131.75%30.30%30.30%28.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St Patricks Athletic (Visitante)

Previsão 44.61%2.24odd justa
EV -4.10%
Vantagem -1.91%
Kelly -3.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.64%44.60%44.68%45.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.972.062.062.1550.76%48.48%48.54%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.80%3.60odd justa
EV -2.69%
Vantagem -0.769%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.69%27.81%27.78%29.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.273.303.5032.79%30.59%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 27.59%; St Patricks Athletic (Visitante): 44.61%; Empate: 27.80%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.60. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.50, com valor esperado de -2.69%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 27.42%EV -3.15%E -0.898%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.76%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.82%EV -3.80%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 15:55
DraftKings🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 09:40
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -5.44%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.69%E -0.769%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 15:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 15:35
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 15:35
1xBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 15:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 15:59
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 15:34
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 15:54
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 15:32
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 15:55
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 15:54
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 13:35
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 13:35
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 13:35
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 13:35
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 13:34
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 13:35
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -13.81%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 15:40
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 15:57
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 15:59
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 15:59
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 15:59
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 15:34
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -8.11%E -3.94%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 13:35
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 15:55
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 15:55
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.81%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-09 15:35
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 15:59
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.96%EV -9.00%E -4.41%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.96%EV -9.00%E -4.41%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 13:35
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 15:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.81%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-09 15:54
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.22%EV -12.13%E -6.16%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.56%EV -15.20%E -4.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-09 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -13.09%E -4.15%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 15:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -13.09%E -4.15%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.06%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-09 13:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%1.0%2026-08-09 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%1.0%2026-08-09 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%1.0%2026-08-09 15:55
Matchbook◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%1.0%2026-08-09 15:55