Idioma:Español
Shelbourne Dublin v St Patricks Athletic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shelbourne Dublin (Local)
Predicción 27.59%3.62momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -0.898%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.99%27.59%27.54%28.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.303.303.5131.75%30.30%30.30%28.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
St Patricks Athletic (Visitante)
Predicción 44.61%2.24momio equitativo
EV -4.10%
Ventaja -1.91%
Kelly -3.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.64%44.60%44.68%45.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.972.062.062.1550.76%48.48%48.54%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.80%3.60momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -0.769%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.69%27.81%27.78%29.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.273.303.5032.79%30.59%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 27.59%; St Patricks Athletic (Visitante): 44.61%; Empate: 27.80%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.60. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.50, con un valor esperado de -2.69%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.42%EV -3.15%E -0.898%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.76%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.82%EV -3.80%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 09:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -5.44%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.69%E -0.769%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 15:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 15:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 15:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 15:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 15:32 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 15:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 13:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -13.81%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 15:57 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-09 15:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-09 15:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-09 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -8.11%E -3.94%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.81%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-09 15:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.56%E -4.17%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.96%EV -9.00%E -4.41%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.96%EV -9.00%E -4.41%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 15:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.81%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-09 15:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.22%EV -12.13%E -6.16%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.56%EV -15.20%E -4.98%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-09 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -13.09%E -4.15%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -13.09%E -4.15%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.06%EV -10.79%E -5.39%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -12.42%E -3.94%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 15:55 |