Language:English
Shelbourne Dublin v Dundalk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shelbourne Dublin (Local)
Prediction 54.24%1.84fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -4.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.31%54.17%54.26%55.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.711.721.7862.50%58.32%58.14%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dundalk (Visit)
Prediction 20.61%4.85fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.442%
Kelly -0.560%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.53%20.57%20.62%21.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.424.404.7524.39%22.64%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.15%3.98fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -0.823%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.61%25.25%25.12%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.553.503.8532.26%28.15%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 54.24%; Dundalk (Visit): 20.61%; Draw: 25.15%. For Dundalk (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.75, with an expected value of -2.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.03%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.86%EV -4.99%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.11%EV -3.67%E -0.958%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-03 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.46%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -3.13%E -0.666%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.46%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -3.13%E -0.666%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.46%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -3.13%E -0.666%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 18:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.42%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.70%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.27%EV -4.99%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.03%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -10.35%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -14.49%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -6.17%E -3.56%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -2.10%E -0.442%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.17%E -3.56%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -10.76%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.17%E -3.56%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.29%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.97%EV -5.93%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.39%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -10.35%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -15.74%E -4.70%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.39%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -10.35%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -15.74%E -4.70%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.37%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -6.22%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.37%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -6.22%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -5.19%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 18:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -10.76%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -11.38%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-03 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-03 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-03 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-03 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.06%EV -8.34%E -4.93%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -3.13%E -0.666%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.58%EV -8.34%E -4.93%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-03 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.77%EV -8.34%E -4.93%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -10.76%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.47%EV -8.88%E -5.29%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -8.88%E -5.29%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.38%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.51%EV -8.88%E -5.29%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.76%EV -12.41%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.42%E -5.64%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -3.13%E -0.666%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.42%E -5.64%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -10.76%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -10.51%E -6.37%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.71%EV -11.05%E -6.74%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.48%EV -15.50%E -3.78%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -10.71%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.72%EV -12.13%E -7.49%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -10.76%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -22.03%E -7.11%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-03 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.85%EV -12.68%E -7.87%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.64%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.50%EV -14.49%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-03 18:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.80%EV -13.22%E -8.26%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.50%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.70%EV -15.74%E -4.70%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13% | 0.7% | 2026-04-03 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13% | 0.7% | 2026-04-03 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13% | 0.7% | 2026-04-03 18:40 |