L’École des cotes

Shelbourne Dublin v Dundalk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 18:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Prévision 54.24%1.84cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -4.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.31%54.17%54.26%55.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.711.721.7862.50%58.32%58.14%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dundalk (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.61%4.85cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -0.442%
Kelly -0.560%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.53%20.57%20.62%21.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.424.404.7524.39%22.64%22.73%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.15%3.98cote équitable
EV -3.17%
Avantage -0.823%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.61%25.25%25.12%27.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.553.503.8532.26%28.15%28.57%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.03%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.86%EV -4.99%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.11%EV -3.67%E -0.958%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 18:30
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.46%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -3.13%E -0.666%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 18:30
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.46%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -3.13%E -0.666%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.46%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -3.13%E -0.666%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 18:30
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:15
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:15
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:15
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:15
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:15
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:14
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:15
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:10
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:15
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:15
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.42%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 18:30
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.70%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.27%EV -4.99%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.03%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -10.35%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -14.49%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 18:15
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -6.17%E -3.56%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -2.10%E -0.442%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 18:30
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.17%E -3.56%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -10.76%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 18:30
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.17%E -3.56%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 18:34
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.29%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.97%EV -5.93%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.39%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -10.35%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -15.74%E -4.70%K -6.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-03 18:15
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.39%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -10.35%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -15.74%E -4.70%K -6.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-03 18:15
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.37%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -6.22%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 18:25
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.37%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -6.22%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 18:25
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -5.19%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 18:25
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 18:35
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -10.76%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 18:34
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -11.38%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 18:20
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 18:30
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 18:30
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.06%EV -8.34%E -4.93%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -3.13%E -0.666%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 18:35
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.58%EV -8.34%E -4.93%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 18:30
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 53.77%EV -8.34%E -4.93%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -10.76%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 18:30
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 54.47%EV -8.88%E -5.29%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -8.88%E -5.29%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.38%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 18:25
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.51%EV -8.88%E -5.29%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.76%EV -12.41%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-03 18:15
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.42%E -5.64%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -3.13%E -0.666%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 18:19
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.42%E -5.64%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -10.76%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 18:20
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -10.51%E -6.37%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-03 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.71%EV -11.05%E -6.74%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.48%EV -15.50%E -3.78%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -10.71%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-03 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.72%EV -12.13%E -7.49%K -19.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -10.76%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -22.03%E -7.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-03 18:35
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 53.85%EV -12.68%E -7.87%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.64%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.50%EV -14.49%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-03 18:34
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 53.80%EV -13.22%E -8.26%K -22.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.50%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.70%EV -15.74%E -4.70%K -6.70%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-03 18:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-04-03 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-04-03 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-04-03 18:40