La escuela de los momios

Shelbourne Dublin v Dundalk

Inicio: 2026-04-03 18:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shelbourne Dublin (Local)

Predicción 54.24%1.84momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -1.94%
Kelly -4.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.31%54.17%54.26%55.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.711.721.7862.50%58.32%58.14%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dundalk (Visitante)

Predicción 20.61%4.85momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -0.442%
Kelly -0.560%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.53%20.57%20.62%21.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.424.404.7524.39%22.64%22.73%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.15%3.98momio equitativo
EV -3.17%
Ventaja -0.823%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.61%25.25%25.12%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.553.503.8532.26%28.15%28.57%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.03%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.86%EV -4.99%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.11%EV -3.67%E -0.958%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 18:30
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.46%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -3.13%E -0.666%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 18:30
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.46%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -3.13%E -0.666%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.46%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -3.13%E -0.666%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 18:30
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:15
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:15
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:15
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:15
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:15
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:14
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:15
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:10
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:15
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -13.23%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 18:15
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.42%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 18:30
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.70%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.27%EV -4.99%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.03%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -10.35%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -14.49%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 18:15
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -6.17%E -3.56%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -2.10%E -0.442%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.17%E -0.823%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 18:30
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -6.17%E -3.56%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -10.76%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 18:30
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.17%E -3.56%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 18:34
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.29%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.97%EV -5.93%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.39%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -10.35%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -15.74%E -4.70%K -6.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-03 18:15
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.39%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -10.35%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -15.74%E -4.70%K -6.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-03 18:15
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.37%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -6.22%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 18:25
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.37%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -6.22%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 18:25
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -5.19%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 18:25
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 18:35
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -10.76%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 18:34
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -11.38%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 18:20
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 18:30
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -7.79%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 18:30
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.06%EV -8.34%E -4.93%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -3.13%E -0.666%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 18:35
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.58%EV -8.34%E -4.93%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 18:30
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 53.77%EV -8.34%E -4.93%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -10.76%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 18:30
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 54.47%EV -8.88%E -5.29%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -8.88%E -5.29%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.38%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 18:25
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.51%EV -8.88%E -5.29%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.76%EV -12.41%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -17.00%E -5.15%K -7.39%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-03 18:15
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.42%E -5.64%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -3.13%E -0.666%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 18:19
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.42%E -5.64%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -10.76%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-03 18:20
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -10.51%E -6.37%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-03 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.71%EV -11.05%E -6.74%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.48%EV -15.50%E -3.78%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -10.71%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-03 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.72%EV -12.13%E -7.49%K -19.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -10.76%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -22.03%E -7.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-03 18:35
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 53.85%EV -12.68%E -7.87%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.64%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.50%EV -14.49%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-03 18:34
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 53.80%EV -13.22%E -8.26%K -22.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.50%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.70%EV -15.74%E -4.70%K -6.70%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-03 18:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-04-03 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-04-03 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.77%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-04-03 18:40