Language:English
Shamrock Rovers v Waterford FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shamrock Rovers (Local)
Prediction 62.54%1.60fair odd
EV -4.93%
Edge -3.24%
Kelly -9.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.87%62.58%62.62%66.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.461.481.5274.63%68.50%67.57%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Waterford FC (Visit)
Prediction 16.24%6.16fair odd
EV +5.56%
Edge +0.856%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.056%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.26%16.26%16.13%17.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.765.786.5020.00%17.36%17.32%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.21%4.71fair odd
EV +0.769%
Edge +0.162%
Kelly +0.205%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.52%21.16%21.25%22.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.344.304.7525.32%23.07%23.26%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shamrock Rovers (Local): 62.54%; Waterford FC (Visit): 16.24%; Draw: 21.21%. For Waterford FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.16. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -12.44%E -8.88%K -31.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +5.56%E +0.856%K +1.01%G +0.056% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV +0.769%E +0.162%K +0.205%G +0.002% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.57%EV -9.31%E -6.42%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV +3.94%E +0.616%K +0.730%G +0.029% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-17 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.94%E +0.616%K +0.730%G +0.029% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-17 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.94%E +0.616%K +0.730%G +0.029% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-17 22:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.94%E +0.616%K +0.730%G +0.029% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-17 22:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.94%E +0.616%K +0.730%G +0.029% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-17 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.94%E +0.616%K +0.730%G +0.029% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-17 22:28 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.94%E +0.616%K +0.730%G +0.029% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-17 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.94%E +0.616%K +0.730%G +0.029% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-17 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.94%E +0.616%K +0.730%G +0.029% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-17 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV +1.50%E +0.241%K +0.286%G +0.004% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 12:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -11.19%E -7.88%K -26.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -2.56%E -0.426%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -2.41%E -0.525%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 09:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -12.44%E -8.88%K -31.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -2.56%E -0.426%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -8.78%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-17 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -12.44%E -8.88%K -31.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -2.56%E -0.426%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -8.78%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-17 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -12.44%E -8.88%K -31.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -2.56%E -0.426%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -8.78%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-17 22:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.05%EV -4.93%E -3.24%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.98I 16.72%NM 16.03%EV -2.88%E -0.482%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.92%EV -2.84%E -0.620%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -4.18%E -0.709%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 12:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.33%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.87I 17.04%NM 15.93%EV -4.67%E -0.795%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -8.78%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.45%EV -6.81%E -4.57%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.91%EV -4.99%E -0.853%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -8.78%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -5.80%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -6.66%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 12:42 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -5.80%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -6.66%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 12:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -5.80%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -6.66%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -5.80%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -6.66%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.99%EV -13.69%E -9.92%K -36.02%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.23%EV -5.80%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.78%EV -9.84%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-17 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -5.56%E -3.68%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.84%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-18 12:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -8.06%E -5.48%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 12:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 63.85%EV -16.19%E -12.08%K -47.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.28%EV -9.05%E -1.62%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.87%EV -13.02%E -3.18%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-17 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.72%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 08:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.67%EV -6.81%E -4.57%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.84%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 12:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.67%EV -6.81%E -4.57%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.84%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 12:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.67%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-18 07:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.14%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -15.14%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-18 12:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.32%EV -6.81%E -4.57%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -12.30%E -2.28%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 12:46 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.46%EV -11.19%E -7.88%K -26.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.42%EV -12.30%E -2.28%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-18 12:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -14.74%E -2.81%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.14%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 12:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -14.74%E -2.81%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 07:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -14.74%E -2.81%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 07:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -14.74%E -2.81%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -14.74%E -2.81%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 07:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.87%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -14.74%E -2.81%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -13.02%E -3.18%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-18 12:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -14.74%E -2.81%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.48%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -17.17%E -3.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -6.66%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-18 12:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -8.06%E -5.48%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -18.80%E -3.76%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -8.78%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-18 12:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 61.35%EV -13.06%E -9.40%K -33.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -18.80%E -3.76%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.59%EV -16.20%E -4.10%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-09-18 12:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.89% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-09-18 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.89% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.89% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.89% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.0% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |