L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Shamrock Rovers v Waterford FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-18 19:00 UTC

Score final : Shamrock Rovers 3–2 Waterford FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prévision 62.54%1.60cote équitable
EV -4.93%
Avantage -3.24%
Kelly -9.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.87%62.58%62.62%66.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.341.461.481.5274.63%68.50%67.57%65.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Waterford FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.24%6.16cote équitable
EV +5.56%
Avantage +0.856%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.056%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.26%16.26%16.13%17.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.765.786.5020.00%17.36%17.32%15.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.21%4.71cote équitable
EV +0.769%
Avantage +0.162%
Kelly +0.205%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.52%21.16%21.25%22.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.954.344.304.7525.32%23.07%23.26%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shamrock Rovers (Local) : 62.54% ; Waterford FC (Visiteur) : 16.24% ; Match nul : 21.21%. Pour Waterford FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.16. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.50, soit une espérance positive de +5.56%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -12.44%E -8.88%K -31.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +5.56%E +0.856%K +1.01%G +0.056%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV +0.769%E +0.162%K +0.205%G +0.002%7.9%2026-09-14 19:30
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.57%EV -9.31%E -6.42%K -20.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV +3.94%E +0.616%K +0.730%G +0.029%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 22:30
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.94%E +0.616%K +0.730%G +0.029%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.94%E +0.616%K +0.730%G +0.029%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 22:30
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.94%E +0.616%K +0.730%G +0.029%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 22:30
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.94%E +0.616%K +0.730%G +0.029%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 22:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.94%E +0.616%K +0.730%G +0.029%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 22:28
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.94%E +0.616%K +0.730%G +0.029%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.94%E +0.616%K +0.730%G +0.029%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 22:30
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +3.94%E +0.616%K +0.730%G +0.029%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV +1.50%E +0.241%K +0.286%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 12:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -11.19%E -7.88%K -26.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -2.56%E -0.426%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -2.41%E -0.525%K -0.670%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 09:50
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -12.44%E -8.88%K -31.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -2.56%E -0.426%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -8.78%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-17 22:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -12.44%E -8.88%K -31.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -2.56%E -0.426%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -8.78%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-17 22:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -12.44%E -8.88%K -31.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.97%EV -2.56%E -0.426%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -8.78%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-17 22:30
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.05%EV -4.93%E -3.24%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 16.03%EV -2.88%E -0.482%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.92%EV -2.84%E -0.620%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 14:15
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -4.18%E -0.709%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:45
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.33%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 15.93%EV -4.67%E -0.795%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -8.78%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.45%EV -6.81%E -4.57%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.91%EV -4.99%E -0.853%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -8.78%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -5.80%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -6.66%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 12:42
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -5.80%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -6.66%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 12:45
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -5.80%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -6.66%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 12:40
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -5.80%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -6.66%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.99%EV -13.69%E -9.92%K -36.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.23%EV -5.80%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.78%EV -9.84%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-17 22:30
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -5.56%E -3.68%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.84%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 12:45
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -8.06%E -5.48%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 12:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 63.85%EV -16.19%E -12.08%K -47.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.28%EV -9.05%E -1.62%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.87%EV -13.02%E -3.18%K -4.20%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-17 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.72%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 12:40
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 08:15
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.67%EV -6.81%E -4.57%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.84%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 12:45
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.67%EV -6.81%E -4.57%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.84%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 12:44
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.67%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 07:55
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.14%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 12:35
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -15.14%E -3.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:05
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 12:45
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.32%EV -6.81%E -4.57%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -12.30%E -2.28%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 12:46
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.46%EV -11.19%E -7.88%K -26.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.42%EV -12.30%E -2.28%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 12:44
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -14.74%E -2.81%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.14%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 12:45
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -14.74%E -2.81%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 07:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -14.74%E -2.81%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 07:54
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -14.74%E -2.81%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -14.74%E -2.81%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 07:55
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.87%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -14.74%E -2.81%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -13.02%E -3.18%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 12:45
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.94%E -6.90%K -22.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -14.74%E -2.81%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -10.90%E -2.59%K -3.41%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 12:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.48%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -17.17%E -3.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -6.66%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 12:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -8.06%E -5.48%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -18.80%E -3.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -8.78%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 12:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 61.35%EV -13.06%E -9.40%K -33.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -18.80%E -3.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.59%EV -16.20%E -4.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%17.3%2026-09-18 12:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.89%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.0%2026-09-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.89%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.0%2026-09-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.89%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.0%2026-09-18 12:35
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.89%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.0%2026-09-18 15:15