Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.30
assuming max odds 11.12
assuming max odds 5.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shamrock Rovers (Local): 72.97%; Sligo Rovers (Visit): 9.26%; Draw: 17.77%. For Sligo Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.80. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.95%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.58%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 11.12I 8.99%NM 8.60%EV +2.95%E +0.265%K +0.291%G +0.009% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.81%EV -4.55%E -0.848%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-22 18:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +1.83%E +0.167%K +0.183%G +0.003% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -8.06%E -6.40%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +1.83%E +0.167%K +0.183%G +0.003% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -8.79%E -7.03%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +1.83%E +0.167%K +0.183%G +0.003% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -2.24%E -0.408%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.04%EV -8.06%E -6.40%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.68%EV -0.480%E -0.045%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -2.79%E -0.266%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.56%EV -8.79%E -7.03%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -2.79%E -0.266%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.14%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -12.91%E -2.63%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -18.24%E -3.97%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -8.79%E -7.03%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-22 18:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -10.98%E -9.00%K -49.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-22 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.49%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.67%EV -11.13%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.84%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.70%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -12.05%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.06%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -12.05%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 18:51 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.61%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -12.05%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -18.24%E -3.97%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -10.98%E -9.00%K -49.90%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV -12.05%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -20.02%E -4.45%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-22 17:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.52%EV -12.44%E -10.37%K -62.19%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.16%EV -12.05%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.32%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.74%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.83%EV -12.98%E -1.38%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.43%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.74%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.83%EV -12.98%E -1.38%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.43%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.88%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.87%EV -14.37%E -1.55%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -8.79%E -7.03%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-22 17:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.15%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.49%EV -19.00%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-22 18:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 71.93%EV -11.71%E -9.68%K -55.75%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.12%EV -20.38%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.95%EV -13.80%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.51%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -21.31%E -2.51%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -12.91%E -2.63%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.38%EV -8.06%E -6.40%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -21.31%E -2.51%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.40%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -21.31%E -2.51%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.42%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -21.31%E -2.51%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.42%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -21.31%E -2.51%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.77%EV -8.79%E -7.03%K -35.16%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -21.31%E -2.51%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.82%EV -16.46%E -3.50%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -25.94%E -3.24%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-22 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -25.94%E -3.24%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-22 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -25.94%E -3.24%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-22 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -25.94%E -3.24%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-22 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.19%EV -10.25%E -8.33%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.30%EV -28.25%E -3.65%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.45% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17% | 0.4% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.45% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17% | 0.4% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.45% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17% | 0.4% | 2026-05-22 18:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.45% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17% | 0.4% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |