La escuela de los momios

Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Rovers

Inicio: 2026-05-22 19:00 UTC

Final: Shamrock Rovers 1–2 Sligo Rovers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Predicción 72.97%1.37momio equitativo
EV -5.14%
Ventaja -3.95%
Kelly -17.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.93%72.72%72.90%74.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.271.281.3083.33%78.46%78.13%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sligo Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 9.26%10.80momio equitativo
EV +2.95%
Ventaja +0.265%
Kelly +0.291%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.47%9.43%9.32%11.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.759.359.2511.1212.90%10.70%10.81%8.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 17.77%5.63momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -0.408%
Kelly -0.498%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.89%17.85%17.79%19.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.005.005.5022.22%20.01%20.00%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 73.58%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%11.12I 8.99%NM 8.60%EV +2.95%E +0.265%K +0.291%G +0.009%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.81%EV -4.55%E -0.848%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-22 18:51
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +1.83%E +0.167%K +0.183%G +0.003%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 18:50
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -8.06%E -6.40%K -31.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +1.83%E +0.167%K +0.183%G +0.003%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 17:20
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -8.79%E -7.03%K -35.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +1.83%E +0.167%K +0.183%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -2.24%E -0.408%K -0.498%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-22 18:50
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.04%EV -8.06%E -6.40%K -31.00%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.68%EV -0.480%E -0.045%K -0.049%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 18:50
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -2.79%E -0.266%K -0.294%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 18:50
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.56%EV -8.79%E -7.03%K -35.16%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -2.79%E -0.266%K -0.294%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 18:50
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 18:50
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:50
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:50
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-22 18:50
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 18:50
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 72.14%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -12.91%E -2.63%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 18:50
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -18.24%E -3.97%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 18:50
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -8.79%E -7.03%K -35.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-22 18:49
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -10.98%E -9.00%K -49.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-22 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 72.49%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.67%EV -11.13%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.84%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.70%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -12.05%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-22 18:50
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 72.06%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -12.05%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 18:51
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 70.61%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -12.05%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -18.24%E -3.97%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-22 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -10.98%E -9.00%K -49.90%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV -12.05%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -20.02%E -4.45%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-22 17:19
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 72.52%EV -12.44%E -10.37%K -62.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.16%EV -12.05%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.32%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-22 17:20
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.74%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.83%EV -12.98%E -1.38%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.43%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:50
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 72.74%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.83%EV -12.98%E -1.38%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.43%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:50
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 71.88%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.87%EV -14.37%E -1.55%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 18:50
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:10
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:10
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:10
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:10
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:10
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:10
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:10
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:00
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -8.79%E -7.03%K -35.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-22 17:19
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 71.15%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.49%EV -19.00%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-22 18:49
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 71.93%EV -11.71%E -9.68%K -55.75%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.12%EV -20.38%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.95%EV -13.80%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-22 18:50
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 70.51%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -21.31%E -2.51%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -12.91%E -2.63%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.38%EV -8.06%E -6.40%K -31.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -21.31%E -2.51%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.40%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -21.31%E -2.51%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-22 18:00
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.42%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -21.31%E -2.51%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-22 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.42%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -21.31%E -2.51%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-22 18:00
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.77%EV -8.79%E -7.03%K -35.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -21.31%E -2.51%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.82%EV -16.46%E -3.50%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-22 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -25.94%E -3.24%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-22 16:40
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -25.94%E -3.24%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-22 16:40
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -25.94%E -3.24%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-22 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -25.94%E -3.24%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-22 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.19%EV -10.25%E -8.33%K -44.56%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.30%EV -28.25%E -3.65%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-22 18:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.45%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17%0.4%2026-05-22 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.45%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17%0.4%2026-05-22 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.45%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17%0.4%2026-05-22 18:51
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.45%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17%0.4%2026-05-22 18:50