L’École des cotes

Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-22 19:00 UTC

Score final : Shamrock Rovers 1–2 Sligo Rovers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prévision 72.97%1.37cote équitable
EV -5.14%
Avantage -3.95%
Kelly -17.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.93%72.72%72.90%74.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.271.281.3083.33%78.46%78.13%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sligo Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.26%10.80cote équitable
EV +2.95%
Avantage +0.265%
Kelly +0.291%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 11.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.47%9.43%9.32%11.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.759.359.2511.1212.90%10.70%10.81%8.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.77%5.63cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -0.408%
Kelly -0.498%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.89%17.85%17.79%19.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.005.005.5022.22%20.01%20.00%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 73.58%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%11.12I 8.99%NM 8.60%EV +2.95%E +0.265%K +0.291%G +0.009%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.81%EV -4.55%E -0.848%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-22 18:51
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +1.83%E +0.167%K +0.183%G +0.003%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 18:50
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -8.06%E -6.40%K -31.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV +1.83%E +0.167%K +0.183%G +0.003%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 17:20
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -8.79%E -7.03%K -35.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +1.83%E +0.167%K +0.183%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -2.24%E -0.408%K -0.498%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-22 18:50
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.04%EV -8.06%E -6.40%K -31.00%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.68%EV -0.480%E -0.045%K -0.049%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 18:50
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV -2.79%E -0.266%K -0.294%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 18:50
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.56%EV -8.79%E -7.03%K -35.16%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -2.79%E -0.266%K -0.294%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 18:50
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 18:50
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:50
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 72.93%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:50
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 71.54%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-22 18:50
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 18:50
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 72.14%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -12.91%E -2.63%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 18:50
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -18.24%E -3.97%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 18:50
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -8.79%E -7.03%K -35.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-22 18:49
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -10.98%E -9.00%K -49.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -7.42%E -0.742%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-22 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 72.49%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.67%EV -11.13%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.84%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.70%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -12.05%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-22 18:50
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 72.06%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -12.05%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 18:51
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 70.61%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -12.05%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -18.24%E -3.97%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-22 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -10.98%E -9.00%K -49.90%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV -12.05%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -20.02%E -4.45%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-22 17:19
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 72.52%EV -12.44%E -10.37%K -62.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.16%EV -12.05%E -1.27%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.32%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-22 17:20
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.74%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.83%EV -12.98%E -1.38%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.43%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:50
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 72.74%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.83%EV -12.98%E -1.38%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.43%EV -5.80%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:50
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 71.88%EV -7.33%E -5.77%K -27.15%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.87%EV -14.37%E -1.55%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 18:50
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:10
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:10
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:10
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:10
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:10
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:10
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:10
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:00
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -8.79%E -7.03%K -35.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -16.68%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-22 17:19
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 71.15%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.49%EV -19.00%E -2.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-22 18:49
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 71.93%EV -11.71%E -9.68%K -55.75%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.12%EV -20.38%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.95%EV -13.80%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-22 18:50
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 70.51%EV -5.14%E -3.95%K -17.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -21.31%E -2.51%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -12.91%E -2.63%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.38%EV -8.06%E -6.40%K -31.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -21.31%E -2.51%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -4.02%E -0.744%K -0.914%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.40%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -21.31%E -2.51%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-22 18:00
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.42%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -21.31%E -2.51%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-22 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.42%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -21.31%E -2.51%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-22 18:00
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.77%EV -8.79%E -7.03%K -35.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -21.31%E -2.51%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.82%EV -16.46%E -3.50%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-22 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -25.94%E -3.24%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-22 16:40
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -5.87%E -4.55%K -20.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -25.94%E -3.24%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-22 16:40
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -25.94%E -3.24%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-22 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -6.60%E -5.16%K -23.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -25.94%E -3.24%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-22 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.19%EV -10.25%E -8.33%K -44.56%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.30%EV -28.25%E -3.65%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.51%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-22 18:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.45%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17%0.4%2026-05-22 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.45%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17%0.4%2026-05-22 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.45%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17%0.4%2026-05-22 18:51
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.45%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17%0.4%2026-05-22 18:50