Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shamrock Rovers v Galway United

Kickoff: 2026-06-26 18:32 UTC

Final: Shamrock Rovers 3–1 Galway United

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prediction 65.16%1.53fair odd
EV -4.22%
Edge -2.87%
Kelly -8.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.72%65.18%65.25%67.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.421.421.4775.19%70.57%70.42%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Galway United (Visit)

Prediction 13.50%7.41fair odd
EV +3.64%
Edge +0.474%
Kelly +0.545%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 7.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.28%13.50%13.44%14.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.606.507.6816.67%15.16%15.38%13.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.35%4.68fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -0.874%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.47%21.32%21.31%23.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.254.254.5026.67%23.54%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shamrock Rovers (Local): 65.16%; Galway United (Visit): 13.50%; Draw: 21.35%. For Galway United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.41. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.68, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -5.52%E -3.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.68I 13.02%NM 12.45%EV +3.64%E +0.474%K +0.545%G +0.020%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.59%EV -5.43%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-26 18:29
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +1.21%E +0.162%K +0.187%G +0.002%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.93%E -0.874%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 18:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -10.74%E -7.84%K -29.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +1.21%E +0.162%K +0.187%G +0.002%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -3.93%E -0.874%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -7.48%E -5.27%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -0.137%E -0.018%K -0.021%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.20%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 18:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -7.48%E -5.27%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -0.137%E -0.018%K -0.021%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.20%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 18:29
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -7.48%E -5.27%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -0.137%E -0.018%K -0.021%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.20%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 18:29
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.52%EV -5.52%E -3.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.10%EV -3.65%E -0.511%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.38%EV -10.76%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 18:28
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -4.22%E -2.87%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.67%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -3.93%E -0.874%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 18:28
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.39%EV -7.48%E -5.27%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -7.14%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-26 18:29
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.61%E -3.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 18:29
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -7.56%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-26 18:30
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.87%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.47%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-26 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -11.39%E -8.37%K -31.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -7.56%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-26 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.78%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.52%EV -6.88%E -0.998%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.20%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 18:29
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.09%EV -5.52%E -3.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -8.20%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 18:29
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -5.00%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 18:30
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -5.00%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 18:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-26 18:29
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-26 18:29
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -8.13%E -5.77%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 18:29
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -8.13%E -5.77%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 18:29
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-26 18:28
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -11.39%E -8.37%K -31.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-26 18:29
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.40%EV -13.34%E -10.03%K -40.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.38%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.22%EV -12.47%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%15.0%2026-06-26 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -11.39%E -8.37%K -31.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -19.94%E -5.32%K -7.25%G +0.000%15.6%2026-06-26 18:30
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.79%EV -5.52%E -3.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.45%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:29
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:29
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:30
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.11%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-26 18:26
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.10%EV -7.48%E -5.27%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-26 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -15.66%E -2.50%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -5.52%E -3.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -15.66%E -2.50%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -14.61%E -3.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-26 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -7.48%E -5.27%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -15.66%E -2.50%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-26 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.71%EV -8.13%E -5.77%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -15.66%E -2.50%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -12.47%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-26 18:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.71%EV -8.13%E -5.77%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -15.66%E -2.50%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -12.47%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-26 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.48%EV -10.74%E -7.84%K -29.01%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -17.68%E -2.90%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-26 18:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.99%EV -10.08%E -7.31%K -26.54%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -17.68%E -2.90%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -12.47%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-26 18:29
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.03%E -3.17%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.03%E -3.17%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.03%E -3.17%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 18:29
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.03%E -3.17%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -8.13%E -5.77%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.80%EV -19.03%E -3.17%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -14.61%E -3.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-26 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.1%2026-06-26 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.1%2026-06-26 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.47%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.52%1.5%2026-06-26 18:29
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 67.62%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.43%2.0%2026-06-26 18:30