La escuela de los momios

Shamrock Rovers v Galway United

Inicio: 2026-06-26 18:32 UTC

Final: Shamrock Rovers 3–1 Galway United

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Predicción 65.16%1.53momio equitativo
EV -4.22%
Ventaja -2.87%
Kelly -8.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.72%65.18%65.25%67.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.421.421.4775.19%70.57%70.42%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Galway United (Visitante)

Predicción 13.50%7.41momio equitativo
EV +3.64%
Ventaja +0.474%
Kelly +0.545%
Crecimiento +0.020%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.28%13.50%13.44%14.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.006.606.507.6816.67%15.16%15.38%13.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.35%4.68momio equitativo
EV -3.93%
Ventaja -0.874%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.47%21.32%21.31%23.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.254.254.5026.67%23.54%23.53%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -5.52%E -3.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.68I 13.02%NM 12.45%EV +3.64%E +0.474%K +0.545%G +0.020%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.59%EV -5.43%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-26 18:29
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +1.21%E +0.162%K +0.187%G +0.002%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.93%E -0.874%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 18:28
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -10.74%E -7.84%K -29.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +1.21%E +0.162%K +0.187%G +0.002%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -3.93%E -0.874%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 18:29
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -7.48%E -5.27%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -0.137%E -0.018%K -0.021%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.20%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 18:29
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -7.48%E -5.27%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -0.137%E -0.018%K -0.021%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.20%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 18:29
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -7.48%E -5.27%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -0.137%E -0.018%K -0.021%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.20%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 18:29
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.52%EV -5.52%E -3.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.10%EV -3.65%E -0.511%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.38%EV -10.76%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 18:28
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -4.22%E -2.87%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.67%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -3.93%E -0.874%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 18:28
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 18:30
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.39%EV -7.48%E -5.27%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -7.14%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-26 18:29
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.61%E -3.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 18:29
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -7.56%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-26 18:30
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 64.87%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.47%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-26 18:29
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -11.39%E -8.37%K -31.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -7.56%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-26 18:30
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.78%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.52%EV -6.88%E -0.998%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.20%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 18:29
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 64.09%EV -5.52%E -3.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -8.20%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 18:29
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -5.00%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 18:30
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -5.00%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 18:29
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-26 18:29
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-26 18:29
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -8.13%E -5.77%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 18:29
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -8.13%E -5.77%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 18:29
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-26 18:28
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -11.39%E -8.37%K -31.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-26 18:29
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 65.40%EV -13.34%E -10.03%K -40.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.38%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.22%EV -12.47%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%15.0%2026-06-26 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -11.39%E -8.37%K -31.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -19.94%E -5.32%K -7.25%G +0.000%15.6%2026-06-26 18:30
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.79%EV -5.52%E -3.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.45%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:29
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:29
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:30
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:29
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:29
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:30
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:29
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:30
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.11%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-26 18:26
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.10%EV -7.48%E -5.27%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-26 18:30
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -15.66%E -2.50%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 18:30
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -5.52%E -3.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -15.66%E -2.50%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -14.61%E -3.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-26 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -7.48%E -5.27%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -15.66%E -2.50%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-26 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.71%EV -8.13%E -5.77%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -15.66%E -2.50%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -12.47%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-26 18:29
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.71%EV -8.13%E -5.77%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -15.66%E -2.50%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -12.47%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-26 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 64.48%EV -10.74%E -7.84%K -29.01%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -17.68%E -2.90%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-26 18:29
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.99%EV -10.08%E -7.31%K -26.54%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -17.68%E -2.90%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -12.47%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-26 18:29
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.03%E -3.17%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.03%E -3.17%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.03%E -3.17%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 18:29
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.03%E -3.17%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 18:29
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -8.13%E -5.77%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.80%EV -19.03%E -3.17%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -14.61%E -3.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-26 18:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.1%2026-06-26 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.1%2026-06-26 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.47%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.52%1.5%2026-06-26 18:29
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 67.62%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.43%2.0%2026-06-26 18:30