L’École des cotes

Shamrock Rovers v Galway United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-26 18:32 UTC

Score final : Shamrock Rovers 3–1 Galway United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prévision 65.16%1.53cote équitable
EV -4.22%
Avantage -2.87%
Kelly -8.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.72%65.18%65.25%67.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.421.421.4775.19%70.57%70.42%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Galway United (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.50%7.41cote équitable
EV +3.64%
Avantage +0.474%
Kelly +0.545%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 7.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.28%13.50%13.44%14.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.606.507.6816.67%15.16%15.38%13.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.35%4.68cote équitable
EV -3.93%
Avantage -0.874%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.47%21.32%21.31%23.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.254.254.5026.67%23.54%23.53%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -5.52%E -3.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.68I 13.02%NM 12.45%EV +3.64%E +0.474%K +0.545%G +0.020%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.59%EV -5.43%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-26 18:29
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +1.21%E +0.162%K +0.187%G +0.002%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.93%E -0.874%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 18:28
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -10.74%E -7.84%K -29.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +1.21%E +0.162%K +0.187%G +0.002%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -3.93%E -0.874%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 18:29
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -7.48%E -5.27%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -0.137%E -0.018%K -0.021%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.20%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 18:29
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -7.48%E -5.27%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -0.137%E -0.018%K -0.021%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.20%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 18:29
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -7.48%E -5.27%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -0.137%E -0.018%K -0.021%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.20%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 18:29
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.52%EV -5.52%E -3.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.10%EV -3.65%E -0.511%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.38%EV -10.76%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 18:28
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -4.22%E -2.87%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.67%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -3.93%E -0.874%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 18:28
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 18:30
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.39%EV -7.48%E -5.27%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -7.14%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-26 18:29
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -14.61%E -3.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 18:29
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -7.56%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-26 18:30
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 64.87%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.47%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-26 18:29
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -11.39%E -8.37%K -31.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -5.53%E -0.791%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -7.56%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-26 18:30
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.78%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.52%EV -6.88%E -0.998%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -8.20%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 18:29
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 64.09%EV -5.52%E -3.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -8.20%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 18:29
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -5.00%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 18:30
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -5.00%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 18:29
PointsBet (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-26 18:29
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-26 18:29
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -8.13%E -5.77%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 18:29
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -8.13%E -5.77%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 18:29
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-26 18:28
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -11.39%E -8.37%K -31.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-26 18:29
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 65.40%EV -13.34%E -10.03%K -40.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.38%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.22%EV -12.47%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%15.0%2026-06-26 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -11.39%E -8.37%K -31.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -12.28%E -1.89%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -19.94%E -5.32%K -7.25%G +0.000%15.6%2026-06-26 18:30
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.79%EV -5.52%E -3.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.45%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 18:29
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:29
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:30
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:29
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:29
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:30
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:29
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -6.17%E -4.29%K -14.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 18:30
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.11%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -9.27%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-26 18:26
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.10%EV -7.48%E -5.27%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -13.63%E -2.13%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-26 18:30
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -6.83%E -4.77%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -15.66%E -2.50%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 18:30
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -5.52%E -3.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -15.66%E -2.50%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -14.61%E -3.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-26 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -7.48%E -5.27%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -15.66%E -2.50%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-26 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.71%EV -8.13%E -5.77%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -15.66%E -2.50%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -12.47%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-26 18:29
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.71%EV -8.13%E -5.77%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -15.66%E -2.50%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -12.47%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-26 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 64.48%EV -10.74%E -7.84%K -29.01%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -17.68%E -2.90%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-26 18:29
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.99%EV -10.08%E -7.31%K -26.54%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -17.68%E -2.90%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -12.47%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-26 18:29
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.03%E -3.17%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.03%E -3.17%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.03%E -3.17%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 18:29
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.78%E -6.27%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -19.03%E -3.17%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-26 18:29
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -8.13%E -5.77%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.80%EV -19.03%E -3.17%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -14.61%E -3.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-26 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.1%2026-06-26 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.1%2026-06-26 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.47%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.52%1.5%2026-06-26 18:29
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 67.62%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.43%2.0%2026-06-26 18:30