La scuola delle quote

Shamrock Rovers v Drogheda United

Inizio: 2026-05-04 16:00 UTC

Finale: Shamrock Rovers 4–1 Drogheda United

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Casa)

Previsione 60.75%1.65quota equa
EV -5.24%
Vantaggio -3.36%
Kelly -9.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.17%60.74%60.64%62.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.411.501.501.5670.92%66.85%66.67%64.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Drogheda United (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.63%6.40quota equa
EV +1.63%
Vantaggio +0.250%
Kelly +0.296%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.15%15.65%15.75%17.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.946.006.5020.00%16.84%16.67%15.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.62%4.23quota equa
EV -0.330%
Vantaggio -0.078%
Kelly -0.103%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.12%23.61%23.60%25.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.873.904.2229.41%25.83%25.64%23.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.75%EV -8.27%E -5.48%K -16.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-04 15:45
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -11.92%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV +0.064%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 15:10
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -5.24%E -3.36%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.39I 15.65%NM 15.01%EV -0.093%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.51%EV -3.64%E -0.891%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 15:50
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.33%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -2.28%E -0.365%K -0.435%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.33%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -2.28%E -0.365%K -0.435%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 15:10
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.53%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.09%EV -3.06%E -0.494%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 15:34
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.53%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.09%EV -3.06%E -0.494%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 15:34
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -3.06%E -0.494%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:44
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.41%EV -14.35%E -10.18%K -34.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.43%EV -4.63%E -0.759%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-04 15:10
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.24%E -3.36%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 15:53
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 15:44
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 15:44
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.97%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-04 15:44
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:45
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -14.97%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-04 15:44
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.01%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -9.32%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 15:50
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 15:34
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 15:34
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 15:44
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 15:44
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%EV -10.88%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 15:35
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%EV -10.88%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 15:34
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -12.44%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 15:49
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -12.44%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 15:50
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -12.44%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 15:50
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 15:49
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:34
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-04 15:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.33%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.53%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -19.70%E -5.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-04 14:20
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -6.45%E -4.19%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -15.57%E -2.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.12%EV -0.330%E -0.078%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:50
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -17.13%E -3.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 15:34
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.04%EV -11.92%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.43%EV -17.13%E -3.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.53%EV -12.61%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-04 15:35
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -17.92%E -3.41%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:50
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -17.92%E -3.41%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -17.92%E -3.41%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -17.92%E -3.41%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.17%EV -9.49%E -6.37%K -19.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.63%EV -21.83%E -4.37%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-04 15:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-04 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-04 15:45
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-04 15:45