La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Shamrock Rovers v Drogheda United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shamrock Rovers (Local)
Predicción 60.75%1.65momio equitativo
EV -5.24%
Ventaja -3.36%
Kelly -9.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.17%60.74%60.64%62.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.411.501.501.5670.92%66.85%66.67%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Drogheda United (Visitante)
Predicción 15.63%6.40momio equitativo
EV +1.63%
Ventaja +0.250%
Kelly +0.296%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.15%15.65%15.75%17.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.946.006.5020.00%16.84%16.67%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.62%4.23momio equitativo
EV -0.330%
Ventaja -0.078%
Kelly -0.103%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.12%23.61%23.60%25.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.873.904.2229.41%25.83%25.64%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.75%EV -8.27%E -5.48%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-04 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Casumo | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Unibet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| betPARX | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -11.92%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV +0.064%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -5.24%E -3.36%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.39I 15.65%NM 15.01%EV -0.093%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.51%EV -3.64%E -0.891%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.33%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -2.28%E -0.365%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.33%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -2.28%E -0.365%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.53%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.09%EV -3.06%E -0.494%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.53%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.09%EV -3.06%E -0.494%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -3.06%E -0.494%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.41%EV -14.35%E -10.18%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.43%EV -4.63%E -0.759%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-04 15:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.24%E -3.36%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 15:53 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.97%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 15:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -14.97%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.01%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -9.32%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%EV -10.88%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%EV -10.88%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Bovada | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -12.44%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-04 15:49 |
| BetAnything | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -12.44%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| BetUS | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -12.44%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-04 15:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-04 15:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.33%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.53%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -19.70%E -5.79%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-04 14:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -6.45%E -4.19%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -15.57%E -2.88%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.12%EV -0.330%E -0.078%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -17.13%E -3.23%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.04%EV -11.92%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.43%EV -17.13%E -3.23%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.53%EV -12.61%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-04 15:35 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -17.92%E -3.41%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -17.92%E -3.41%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -17.92%E -3.41%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -17.92%E -3.41%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.17%EV -9.49%E -6.37%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.63%EV -21.83%E -4.37%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-04 15:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58% | 1.0% | 2026-05-04 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58% | 1.0% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58% | 1.0% | 2026-05-04 15:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58% | 1.0% | 2026-05-04 15:45 |