مدرسة الاحتمالات

Shamrock Rovers v Drogheda United

البداية: 2026-05-04 16:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Shamrock Rovers 4–1 Drogheda United

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Shamrock Rovers (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.75%1.65السعر العادل
EV -5.24%
الأفضلية -3.36%
Kelly -9.35%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.56

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.17%60.74%60.64%62.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.411.501.501.5670.92%66.85%66.67%64.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Drogheda United (الضيف)

التنبؤ 15.63%6.40السعر العادل
EV +1.63%
الأفضلية +0.250%
Kelly +0.296%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.15%15.65%15.75%17.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.946.006.5020.00%16.84%16.67%15.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.62%4.23السعر العادل
EV -0.330%
الأفضلية -0.078%
Kelly -0.103%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.22

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.12%23.61%23.60%25.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.873.904.2229.41%25.83%25.64%23.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.75%EV -8.27%E -5.48%K -16.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-04 15:45
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -11.92%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV +0.064%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 15:10
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -5.24%E -3.36%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.39I 15.65%NM 15.01%EV -0.093%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.51%EV -3.64%E -0.891%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 15:50
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.33%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -2.28%E -0.365%K -0.435%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.33%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -2.28%E -0.365%K -0.435%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 15:10
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.53%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.09%EV -3.06%E -0.494%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 15:34
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.53%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.09%EV -3.06%E -0.494%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 15:34
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -3.06%E -0.494%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:44
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.41%EV -14.35%E -10.18%K -34.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.43%EV -4.63%E -0.759%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-04 15:10
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.24%E -3.36%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 15:53
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 15:44
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 15:44
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.97%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-04 15:44
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:45
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -14.97%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-04 15:44
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.01%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -9.32%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 15:50
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 15:34
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 15:34
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 15:44
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 15:44
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%EV -10.88%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 15:35
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%EV -10.88%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 15:34
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -12.44%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 15:49
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -12.44%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 15:50
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -12.44%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 15:50
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 15:49
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:34
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-04 15:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.33%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.53%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -19.70%E -5.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-04 14:20
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -6.45%E -4.19%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -15.57%E -2.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.12%EV -0.330%E -0.078%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:50
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -17.13%E -3.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 15:34
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.04%EV -11.92%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.43%EV -17.13%E -3.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.53%EV -12.61%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-04 15:35
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -17.92%E -3.41%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:50
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -17.92%E -3.41%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -17.92%E -3.41%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -17.92%E -3.41%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.17%EV -9.49%E -6.37%K -19.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.63%EV -21.83%E -4.37%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-04 15:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-04 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-04 15:45
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-04 15:45