L’École des cotes

Shamrock Rovers v Drogheda United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-04 16:00 UTC

Score final : Shamrock Rovers 4–1 Drogheda United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prévision 60.75%1.65cote équitable
EV -5.24%
Avantage -3.36%
Kelly -9.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.17%60.74%60.64%62.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.501.501.5670.92%66.85%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Drogheda United (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.63%6.40cote équitable
EV +1.63%
Avantage +0.250%
Kelly +0.296%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.15%15.65%15.75%17.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.946.006.5020.00%16.84%16.67%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.62%4.23cote équitable
EV -0.330%
Avantage -0.078%
Kelly -0.103%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.12%23.61%23.60%25.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.873.904.2229.41%25.83%25.64%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.75%EV -8.27%E -5.48%K -16.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-04 15:45
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -10.70%E -7.28%K -22.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +1.63%E +0.250%K +0.296%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -11.92%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV +0.064%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 15:10
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -5.24%E -3.36%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.39I 15.65%NM 15.01%EV -0.093%E -0.015%K -0.017%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.51%EV -3.64%E -0.891%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 15:50
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.33%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -2.28%E -0.365%K -0.435%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.33%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -2.28%E -0.365%K -0.435%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 15:10
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.53%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.09%EV -3.06%E -0.494%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 15:34
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.53%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.09%EV -3.06%E -0.494%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 15:34
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -3.06%E -0.494%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:44
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.41%EV -14.35%E -10.18%K -34.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.43%EV -4.63%E -0.759%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-04 15:10
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.24%E -3.36%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 15:53
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 15:44
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 15:44
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.97%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-04 15:44
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:45
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -6.19%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -14.97%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-04 15:44
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.01%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -9.32%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 15:50
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 15:34
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 15:34
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 15:44
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 15:44
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%EV -10.88%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 15:35
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.84%E -3.77%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%EV -10.88%E -1.91%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 15:34
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -12.44%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 15:49
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -12.44%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 15:50
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -12.44%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 15:50
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.06%E -4.61%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 15:49
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 15:34
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-04 15:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.33%EV -12.52%E -8.70%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.53%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -19.70%E -5.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-04 14:20
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -6.45%E -4.19%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -15.57%E -2.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.12%EV -0.330%E -0.078%K -0.103%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:50
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -7.67%E -5.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -17.13%E -3.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 15:34
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.04%EV -11.92%E -8.22%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.43%EV -17.13%E -3.23%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.53%EV -12.61%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-04 15:35
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -17.92%E -3.41%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:50
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -17.92%E -3.41%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -17.92%E -3.41%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -8.88%E -5.92%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -17.92%E -3.41%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.17%EV -9.49%E -6.37%K -19.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.63%EV -21.83%E -4.37%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-04 15:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-04 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-04 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-04 15:45
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.67%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-05-04 15:45