Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 19:00 UTC

Final: Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prediction 38.67%2.59fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.31%38.64%38.67%39.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.332.5245.45%42.57%42.92%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bohemians (Visit)

Prediction 30.51%3.28fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.01%30.48%30.56%31.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.033.003.1535.71%33.05%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.81%3.25fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -0.934%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.89%30.88%30.77%31.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.932.903.1537.04%34.12%34.48%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shamrock Rovers (Local): 38.67%; Bohemians (Visit): 30.51%; Draw: 30.81%. For Shamrock Rovers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.52, with an expected value of -2.54%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -2.54%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -2.54%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:44
Pinnacle🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -2.93%E -1.17%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.84%EV -4.80%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.84%EV -3.87%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 18:45
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -2.94%E -0.934%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 18:50
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 18:45
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -5.71%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.58%EV -8.80%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 18:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.53%EV -6.41%E -2.65%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -6.02%E -1.95%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -7.87%E -2.63%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 18:49
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 18:48
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:54
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:55
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 18:50
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 18:49
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 18:44
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -7.95%E -3.34%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -8.18%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:49
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -7.95%E -3.34%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -8.18%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:50
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.95%E -3.34%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 18:50
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:49
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 18:45
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 18:49
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:20
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:20
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
LeoVegas🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:20
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -10.28%E -4.43%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 18:49
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 18:44
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.12%E -4.21%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 18:49
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 18:45
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 18:44
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -13.73%E -4.90%K -7.63%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-17 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -14.56%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.81%E -6.23%K -9.89%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-17 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -11.82%E -5.19%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -12.19%E -4.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-17 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -11.82%E -5.19%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -12.19%E -4.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-17 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -12.98%E -5.77%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -13.04%E -4.57%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-17 18:49
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.43%EV -12.98%E -5.77%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.13%EV -12.43%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.44%EV -15.27%E -5.55%K -8.72%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-17 18:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.37%EV -13.76%E -6.17%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -13.73%E -4.90%K -7.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-17 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -14.92%E -6.78%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -12.19%E -4.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-17 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-04-17 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-04-17 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74%1.6%2026-04-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.1%2026-04-17 18:54