La escuela de los momios

Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians

Inicio: 2026-04-17 19:00 UTC

Final: Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Predicción 38.67%2.59momio equitativo
EV -2.54%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.31%38.64%38.67%39.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.352.332.5245.45%42.57%42.92%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bohemians (Visitante)

Predicción 30.51%3.28momio equitativo
EV -3.88%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.01%30.48%30.56%31.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.033.003.1535.71%33.05%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.81%3.25momio equitativo
EV -2.94%
Ventaja -0.934%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.89%30.88%30.77%31.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.932.903.1537.04%34.12%34.48%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -2.54%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -2.54%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:44
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -2.93%E -1.17%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.84%EV -4.80%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.84%EV -3.87%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 18:45
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -2.94%E -0.934%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 18:50
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 18:45
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -5.71%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.58%EV -8.80%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 18:54
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.53%EV -6.41%E -2.65%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -6.02%E -1.95%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -7.87%E -2.63%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 18:49
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 18:48
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:54
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:55
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 18:50
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 18:49
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 18:44
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -7.95%E -3.34%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -8.18%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:49
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -7.95%E -3.34%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -8.18%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:50
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.95%E -3.34%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 18:45
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 18:50
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:49
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:49
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 18:45
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 18:49
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:20
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:20
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:20
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -10.28%E -4.43%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 18:20
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 18:49
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 18:44
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.12%E -4.21%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 18:49
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 18:45
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 18:44
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -13.73%E -4.90%K -7.63%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-17 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -14.56%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.81%E -6.23%K -9.89%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-17 18:49
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -11.82%E -5.19%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -12.19%E -4.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-17 18:20
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -11.82%E -5.19%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -12.19%E -4.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-17 18:20
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -12.98%E -5.77%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -13.04%E -4.57%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-17 18:49
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.43%EV -12.98%E -5.77%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.13%EV -12.43%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.44%EV -15.27%E -5.55%K -8.72%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-17 18:49
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.37%EV -13.76%E -6.17%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -13.73%E -4.90%K -7.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-17 18:20
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -14.92%E -6.78%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -12.19%E -4.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-17 18:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-04-17 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-04-17 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74%1.6%2026-04-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.1%2026-04-17 18:54