L’École des cotes

Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-17 19:00 UTC

Score final : Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shamrock Rovers (Local)

Prévision 38.67%2.59cote équitable
EV -2.54%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.31%38.64%38.67%39.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.352.332.5245.45%42.57%42.92%39.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bohemians (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.51%3.28cote équitable
EV -3.88%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -1.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.01%30.48%30.56%31.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.033.003.1535.71%33.05%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.81%3.25cote équitable
EV -2.94%
Avantage -0.934%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.89%30.88%30.77%31.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.932.903.1537.04%34.12%34.48%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -2.54%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -2.54%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:44
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -2.93%E -1.17%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.84%EV -4.80%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.84%EV -3.87%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 18:45
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -2.94%E -0.934%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 18:50
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.48%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 18:45
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -5.71%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.58%EV -8.80%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 18:54
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.53%EV -6.41%E -2.65%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -6.02%E -1.95%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -7.87%E -2.63%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 18:49
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 18:48
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:54
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:55
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 18:50
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 18:49
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 18:44
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -7.95%E -3.34%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -8.18%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:49
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -7.95%E -3.34%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -8.18%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:50
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.95%E -3.34%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 18:45
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 18:50
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:49
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:49
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.10%E -3.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 18:45
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 18:49
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:20
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:20
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:20
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:19
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.24%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -10.28%E -4.43%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 18:20
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 18:49
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.26%E -3.91%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 18:44
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.12%E -4.21%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 18:49
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 18:45
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 18:44
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -13.73%E -4.90%K -7.63%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-17 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -11.05%E -4.80%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -14.56%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.81%E -6.23%K -9.89%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-17 18:49
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -11.82%E -5.19%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -12.19%E -4.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-17 18:20
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -11.82%E -5.19%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -12.19%E -4.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-17 18:20
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -12.98%E -5.77%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -13.04%E -4.57%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -10.65%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-17 18:49
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.43%EV -12.98%E -5.77%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.13%EV -12.43%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.44%EV -15.27%E -5.55%K -8.72%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-17 18:49
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.37%EV -13.76%E -6.17%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -13.73%E -4.90%K -7.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-17 18:20
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -14.92%E -6.78%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -12.19%E -4.28%K -6.59%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-17 18:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-04-17 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-04-17 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.74%1.6%2026-04-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.1%2026-04-17 18:54