The School of Odds

Galway United v Waterford FC

2026-07-25 16:00 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Galway United (Local)

Prediction 48.67%2.05fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -4.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.68%48.84%48.30%51.16%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.721.831.821.9758%55%55%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Waterford FC (Visit)

Prediction 26.48%3.78fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +0.844%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.037%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.61%26.17%26.97%28.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.953.663.803.9034%27%26%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.84%4.03fair odd
EV -5.60%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.96%24.99%24.73%26.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.453.633.653.8029%28%27%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV +3.29%E +0.844%K +1.13%G +0.037%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.33%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 16:05
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV +3.29%E +0.844%K +1.13%G +0.037%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.33%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 16:05
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV +3.29%E +0.844%K +1.13%G +0.037%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.33%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 16:05
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV +3.29%E +0.844%K +1.13%G +0.037%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.33%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 16:05
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV +3.29%E +0.844%K +1.13%G +0.037%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.33%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 16:05
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV +3.29%E +0.844%K +1.13%G +0.037%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.33%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 16:05
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV +3.29%E +0.844%K +1.13%G +0.037%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.33%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 16:05
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV +3.29%E +0.844%K +1.13%G +0.037%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.33%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 16:05
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV +3.29%E +0.844%K +1.13%G +0.037%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.33%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 16:03
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -12.39%E -6.88%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV +3.29%E +0.844%K +1.13%G +0.037%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -9.33%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%EV -13.36%E -7.51%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV +1.97%E +0.511%K +0.690%G +0.014%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 16:05
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.05%EV -14.33%E -8.14%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.64%EV +0.642%E +0.169%K +0.229%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -11.81%E -3.33%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 16:05
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.05%EV -14.33%E -8.14%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.64%EV +0.642%E +0.169%K +0.229%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -11.81%E -3.33%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 16:05
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -9.47%E -5.09%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -2.01%E -0.542%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 20:30
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.12%EV -16.28%E -9.47%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.76%EV -2.01%E -0.542%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-18 16:05
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.83%EV -8.49%E -4.52%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.39%EV -2.27%E -0.616%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.78%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 20:35
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -4.11%E -2.09%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 16:05
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -6.55%E -3.41%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 16:05
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -6.55%E -3.41%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 16:05
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -8.49%E -4.52%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.60%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.51%EV -10.44%E -5.67%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -17.90%E -5.77%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.28%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-18 16:05
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -12.39%E -6.88%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -17.90%E -5.77%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%16.4%2026-07-18 16:05
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 47.18%EV -13.36%E -7.51%K -17.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.47%EV -21.87%E -7.41%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.34%EV -14.30%E -4.14%K -5.84%G +0.000%19.1%2026-07-18 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.