Language:English
Galway United v Waterford FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Galway United (Local)
Prediction 45.08%2.22fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.48%45.32%45.01%48.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.822.002.002.1454.95%50.07%50.00%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Waterford FC (Visit)
Prediction 29.97%3.34fair odd
EV +4.89%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +1.96%
Growth +0.096%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.24%29.76%29.93%31.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.173.103.5034.72%31.52%32.26%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.95%4.01fair odd
EV -0.201%
Edge -0.050%
Kelly -0.067%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.80%24.93%25.06%26.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.623.654.0029.41%27.60%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galway United (Local): 45.08%; Waterford FC (Visit): 29.97%; Draw: 24.95%. For Waterford FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 15:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 15:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 15:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 15:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.60%EV -14.80%E -7.83%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -15.25%E -8.11%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV +3.39%E +0.983%K +1.38%G +0.047% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 15:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.29%EV -16.15%E -8.68%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV +1.89%E +0.557%K +0.789%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-25 15:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.29%EV -16.15%E -8.68%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV +1.89%E +0.557%K +0.789%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-25 15:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -17.95%E -9.86%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV +0.394%E +0.118%K +0.168%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-25 15:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -0.201%E -0.050%K -0.067%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 15:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -6.68%E -3.23%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.46%EV -8.18%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -8.18%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 15:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 15:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 15:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.94%EV -3.52%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.15%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.91%EV -3.69%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-25 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -6.23%E -3.00%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -6.23%E -3.00%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-25 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-25 15:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 15:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -8.60%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-25 15:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-25 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-25 15:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-25 15:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-25 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-25 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -8.93%E -4.42%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-25 15:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 15:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 15:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.60%EV -10.74%E -5.42%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -15.17%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-25 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-25 15:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-25 15:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.96%EV -11.64%E -5.94%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-25 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.47%EV -10.74%E -5.42%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -13.09%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-25 15:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -13.69%E -4.75%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-25 15:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-07-25 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 1.0% | 2026-07-25 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 1.0% | 2026-07-25 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 1.0% | 2026-07-25 15:55 |