L’École des cotes

Galway United v Waterford FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-25 16:00 UTC

Score final : Galway United 0–0 Waterford FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Galway United (Local)

Prévision 45.08%2.22cote équitable
EV -3.52%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -3.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.48%45.32%45.01%48.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.822.002.002.1454.95%50.07%50.00%46.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Waterford FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.97%3.34cote équitable
EV +4.89%
Avantage +1.40%
Kelly +1.96%
Croissance +0.096%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.24%29.76%29.93%31.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.173.103.5034.72%31.52%32.26%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.95%4.01cote équitable
EV -0.201%
Avantage -0.050%
Kelly -0.067%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.80%24.93%25.06%26.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.623.654.0029.41%27.60%27.40%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:05
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:05
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:05
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:05
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:05
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:05
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:05
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:05
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:05
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.60%EV -14.80%E -7.83%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -15.25%E -8.11%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV +3.39%E +0.983%K +1.38%G +0.047%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 15:05
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.29%EV -16.15%E -8.68%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV +1.89%E +0.557%K +0.789%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 15:05
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.29%EV -16.15%E -8.68%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV +1.89%E +0.557%K +0.789%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 15:05
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -17.95%E -9.86%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV +0.394%E +0.118%K +0.168%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 15:05
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -0.201%E -0.050%K -0.067%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 15:40
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -6.68%E -3.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.46%EV -8.18%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 15:40
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -8.18%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 15:35
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:20
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:20
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:20
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 15:40
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 44.94%EV -3.52%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.15%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.91%EV -3.69%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 15:35
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:35
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -6.23%E -3.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 15:50
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -6.23%E -3.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 15:50
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:35
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 15:58
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 15:34
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -8.60%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 15:35
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 15:59
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:35
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 15:50
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 15:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 15:55
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 15:35
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -8.93%E -4.42%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 15:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 15:45
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 15:35
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 15:35
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 15:35
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.60%EV -10.74%E -5.42%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -15.17%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 15:50
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 15:59
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 15:59
SportsBet1.96I 51.02%NM 44.96%EV -11.64%E -5.94%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-25 15:35
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.47%EV -10.74%E -5.42%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -13.09%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-25 15:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -13.69%E -4.75%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 15:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-07-25 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-07-25 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-07-25 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-07-25 15:55