La escuela de los momios

Galway United v Waterford FC

Inicio: 2026-07-25 16:00 UTC

Final: Galway United 0–0 Waterford FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Galway United (Local)

Predicción 45.08%2.22momio equitativo
EV -3.52%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -3.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.48%45.32%45.01%48.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.822.002.002.1454.95%50.07%50.00%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Waterford FC (Visitante)

Predicción 29.97%3.34momio equitativo
EV +4.89%
Ventaja +1.40%
Kelly +1.96%
Crecimiento +0.096%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.24%29.76%29.93%31.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.173.103.5034.72%31.52%32.26%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.95%4.01momio equitativo
EV -0.201%
Ventaja -0.050%
Kelly -0.067%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.80%24.93%25.06%26.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.623.654.0029.41%27.60%27.40%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:05
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:05
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:05
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:05
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:05
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:05
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:05
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:05
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -13.89%E -7.27%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:05
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.60%EV -14.80%E -7.83%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +4.89%E +1.40%K +1.96%G +0.096%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -15.25%E -8.11%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV +3.39%E +0.983%K +1.38%G +0.047%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 15:05
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.29%EV -16.15%E -8.68%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV +1.89%E +0.557%K +0.789%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 15:05
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.29%EV -16.15%E -8.68%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV +1.89%E +0.557%K +0.789%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 15:05
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -17.95%E -9.86%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV +0.394%E +0.118%K +0.168%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 15:05
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -0.201%E -0.050%K -0.067%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 15:40
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -6.68%E -3.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.46%EV -8.18%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 15:40
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -8.18%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 15:35
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:20
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:20
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:20
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 15:40
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 44.94%EV -3.52%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.15%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.91%EV -3.69%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 15:35
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:35
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -6.23%E -3.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 15:50
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -6.23%E -3.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 15:50
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:35
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 15:58
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.10%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 15:34
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -8.60%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 15:35
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.19%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 15:59
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:35
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 15:50
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 15:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 15:55
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 15:35
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -8.93%E -4.42%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 15:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 15:45
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 15:35
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 15:35
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 15:35
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.60%EV -10.74%E -5.42%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -10.09%E -3.36%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -15.17%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 15:50
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 15:59
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 15:59
SportsBet1.96I 51.02%NM 44.96%EV -11.64%E -5.94%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -11.59%E -3.93%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-25 15:35
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.47%EV -10.74%E -5.42%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -13.09%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-25 15:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -13.69%E -4.75%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -10.18%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 15:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-07-25 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-07-25 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-07-25 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-07-25 15:55