Language:English
Galway United v St Patricks Athletic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Galway United (Local)
Prediction 25.00%4.00fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.316%
Kelly -0.424%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.62%25.01%24.92%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.673.703.9530.30%27.28%27.03%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St Patricks Athletic (Visit)
Prediction 48.30%2.07fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -4.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.93%48.26%48.40%49.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.911.9855.56%52.43%52.36%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.70%3.74fair odd
EV +0.140%
Edge +0.037%
Kelly +0.051%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.77%26.73%26.68%28.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.303.7532.26%29.69%30.30%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galway United (Local): 25.00%; St Patricks Athletic (Visit): 48.30%; Draw: 26.70%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.140%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -9.20%E -4.90%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV +0.140%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.38%EV -1.50%E -0.381%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.01%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.61%EV -3.60%E -0.997%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -6.25%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.20%EV -3.25%E -0.840%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.56%EV -8.72%E -4.61%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.24%EV -4.67%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -6.25%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -1.25%E -0.316%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -9.20%E -4.90%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -1.25%E -0.316%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -9.20%E -4.90%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -1.25%E -0.316%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -9.20%E -4.90%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -13.75%E -3.99%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -7.27%E -3.79%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.75%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.25%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -6.79%E -3.52%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 17:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.50%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -9.69%E -5.18%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.25%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -15.00%E -4.41%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.75%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.20%E -4.90%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.54%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -17.50%E -5.30%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -10.17%E -5.47%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -10.54%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.09%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -2.50%E -0.641%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -8.24%E -4.34%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -8.24%E -4.34%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -13.75%E -3.99%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.96%EV -11.62%E -6.35%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.75%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -6.79%E -3.52%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.21%E -4.07%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -13.21%E -4.07%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -13.21%E -4.07%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-01 18:03 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -14.55%E -4.55%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-01 18:38 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -11.25%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.16%EV -9.69%E -5.18%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.00%EV -15.88%E -5.04%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -12.50%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -11.62%E -6.35%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -17.22%E -5.55%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -12.50%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -13.07%E -7.26%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -17.22%E -5.55%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.87% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05% | 1.3% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.87% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05% | 1.3% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |