L’École des cotes

Galway United v St Patricks Athletic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 18:45 UTC

Score final : Galway United 2–2 St Patricks Athletic

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Galway United (Local)

Prévision 25.00%4.00cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.316%
Kelly -0.424%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.62%25.01%24.92%26.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.673.703.9530.30%27.28%27.03%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St Patricks Athletic (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.30%2.07cote équitable
EV -4.37%
Avantage -2.21%
Kelly -4.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.93%48.26%48.40%49.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.911.911.9855.56%52.43%52.36%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.70%3.74cote équitable
EV +0.140%
Avantage +0.037%
Kelly +0.051%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.77%26.73%26.68%28.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.373.303.7532.26%29.69%30.30%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -9.20%E -4.90%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV +0.140%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 18:39
Pinnacle3.94I 25.38%NM 24.38%EV -1.50%E -0.381%K -0.510%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.01%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.61%EV -3.60%E -0.997%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 18:35
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -6.25%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 18:09
1xBet3.87I 25.84%NM 24.20%EV -3.25%E -0.840%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.56%EV -8.72%E -4.61%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.24%EV -4.67%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:40
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -6.25%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 18:30
BetOnline.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -1.25%E -0.316%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -9.20%E -4.90%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 18:39
LowVig.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -1.25%E -0.316%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -9.20%E -4.90%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 18:40
BetAnything3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -1.25%E -0.316%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -9.20%E -4.90%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 18:40
Marathon Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:39
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -13.75%E -3.99%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -7.27%E -3.79%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:05
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 18:05
NordicBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 18:05
BetUS3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.75%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 18:34
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.25%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -6.79%E -3.52%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 18:10
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 18:30
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 17:58
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.50%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 18:10
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -9.69%E -5.18%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 18:35
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.25%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 18:35
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -15.00%E -4.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-01 18:10
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.75%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.20%E -4.90%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.54%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 18:35
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -17.50%E -5.30%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -10.17%E -5.47%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -10.54%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-01 18:04
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.09%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 18:05
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -2.50%E -0.641%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -8.24%E -4.34%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:35
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:05
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:05
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:05
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:05
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:05
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:05
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:05
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:05
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:05
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:05
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 18:34
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -8.24%E -4.34%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 18:35
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 18:35
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 18:35
Unibet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -13.75%E -3.99%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.96%EV -11.62%E -6.35%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-01 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.75%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -6.79%E -3.52%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.21%E -4.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 18:05
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -13.21%E -4.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 18:04
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -13.21%E -4.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 18:03
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -14.55%E -4.55%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-01 18:38
PMU (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -11.25%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.16%EV -9.69%E -5.18%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.00%EV -15.88%E -5.04%K -7.39%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-01 18:04
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -12.50%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -11.62%E -6.35%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -17.22%E -5.55%K -8.20%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -12.50%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -13.07%E -7.26%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -17.22%E -5.55%K -8.20%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-01 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-05-01 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.87%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.87%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-05-01 18:40