La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Galway United v St Patricks Athletic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Galway United (Local)
Predicción 25.00%4.00momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.316%
Kelly -0.424%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.62%25.01%24.92%26.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.673.703.9530.30%27.28%27.03%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
St Patricks Athletic (Visitante)
Predicción 48.30%2.07momio equitativo
EV -4.37%
Ventaja -2.21%
Kelly -4.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.93%48.26%48.40%49.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.911.911.9855.56%52.43%52.36%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.70%3.74momio equitativo
EV +0.140%
Ventaja +0.037%
Kelly +0.051%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.77%26.73%26.68%28.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.373.303.7532.26%29.69%30.30%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -9.20%E -4.90%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV +0.140%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Pinnacle | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.38%EV -1.50%E -0.381%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.01%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.61%EV -3.60%E -0.997%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Coolbet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -6.25%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -4.37%E -2.21%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -3.87%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 18:09 |
| 1xBet | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.20%EV -3.25%E -0.840%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.56%EV -8.72%E -4.61%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.24%EV -4.67%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -6.25%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -1.25%E -0.316%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -9.20%E -4.90%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -1.25%E -0.316%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -9.20%E -4.90%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| BetAnything | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -1.25%E -0.316%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -9.20%E -4.90%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.20%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -13.75%E -3.99%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -7.27%E -3.79%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Betsson | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| NordicBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| BetUS | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.75%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.25%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -6.79%E -3.52%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.87%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| FanDuel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 17:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.50%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| BetMGM | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -9.69%E -5.18%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Everygame | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.25%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| betfred_uk | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -15.00%E -4.41%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.75%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.20%E -4.90%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.54%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -17.50%E -5.30%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -10.17%E -5.47%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -10.54%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Unibet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.09%EV -5.34%E -2.72%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -2.50%E -0.641%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -8.24%E -4.34%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Casumo | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Grosvenor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| TABtouch | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| BetRivers | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| LeoVegas | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| betPARX | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.82%E -2.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| William Hill | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Paddy Power | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -7.50%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -8.24%E -4.34%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Neds | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Coral | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -13.75%E -3.99%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.96%EV -11.62%E -6.35%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-01 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -8.75%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -6.79%E -3.52%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.21%E -4.07%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -13.21%E -4.07%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -13.21%E -4.07%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-01 18:03 |
| Sky Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -10.00%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -10.65%E -5.76%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -14.55%E -4.55%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-01 18:38 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -11.25%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.16%EV -9.69%E -5.18%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.00%EV -15.88%E -5.04%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| SportsBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -12.50%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -11.62%E -6.35%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -17.22%E -5.55%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -12.50%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -13.07%E -7.26%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -17.22%E -5.55%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.87% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05% | 1.3% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.87% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05% | 1.3% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |